Happy Valley · 2025-12-03 · 14:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-03 was Class 3 over 1000m. BLUE ILLUSION, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by P C Ng, won, with LOVE TOGETHER second and WONDERSTAR third. The 1.8 favourite ETERNAL FORTUNE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BLUE ILLUSION 0:56.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 2 | 98.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | LOVE TOGETHER C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | WONDERSTAR M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPERB KING H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 10 | 43.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 1.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | RYUI KOKOROE H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PARENTS' LOVE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | LUCKY XANDER K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | RISING FROM ASHES J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 5 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SIX THREE WIN L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 134.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 44.9% | 2.23 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | WONDERSTAR | 17.1% | 5.85 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO | 7.0% | 14.22 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | DEVAS TWELVE | 6.5% | 15.40 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | LOVE TOGETHER | 6.2% | 16.10 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | PARENTS' LOVE | 5.0% | 19.83 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY XANDER | 4.2% | 23.95 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | RYUI KOKOROE | 2.8% | 35.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.7% | 37.54 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | SIX THREE WIN | 1.3% | 78.39 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPERB KING | 1.2% | 80.77 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | BLUE ILLUSION | 1.1% | 93.46 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 984
PLACE
3 15
4 33.5
10 153
QUINELLA
4,10 5,566.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 79.5
3,10 770.5
4,10 1,256
FORECAST
10,4 10,918
TIERCE
10,4,3 64,186
TRIO
3,4,10 6,064
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 23,635
QUARTET
10,4,3,12 796,111
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
6/4 61.5
6/10 3,542.5