Happy Valley · 2025-12-03 · 11:15
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-03 was Class 5 over 1000m. GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won, with SKY SONG second and EVER SMART third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP 0:56.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SKY SONG H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | EVER SMART H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 5 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ISLAND BREEZES L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 4 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY BOYS J McDonald · M Newnham | J McDonald | M Newnham | 3 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GENERAL SMART K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 60.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY HORSE E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 9 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | CAMP FIRE L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SANTORINI M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 64.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | RICH HORSE J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 77.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 11 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 23.0% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY HORSE | 17.0% | 5.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY BOYS | 15.0% | 6.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | SKY SONG | 12.1% | 8.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | EVER SMART | 10.6% | 9.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 5.9% | 17.07 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | ISLAND BREEZES | 3.5% | 28.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | CAMP FIRE | 3.1% | 32.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | GENERAL SMART | 3.0% | 33.59 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 2.8% | 36.06 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | SANTORINI | 2.2% | 46.16 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | RICH HORSE | 2.0% | 50.00 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
3 17
6 32.5
12 19
QUINELLA
3,6 231
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 77
3,12 39
6,12 76.5
FORECAST
3,6 327
TIERCE
3,6,12 1,533
TRIO
3,6,12 349
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 1,138
QUARTET
3,6,12,2 18,587