Happy Valley · 2025-12-03 · 19:41
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly 2:15.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 1 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 1 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 12 | 51.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 4 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 8 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SERANGOON Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | KINGLY DEMEANOR J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | VIVA TASTE M Guyon · K H Ting | M Guyon | K H Ting | 7 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MISSION STRIKE L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | DASHING DRAGON M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 35.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MEGA FORCE Led early L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 3 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-03 was Class 4 over 2200m. DOUBLE WIN, ridden by H Doyle and trained by K L Man, won, with NEARLY FINE second and PACKING HURRICANE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SERANGOON finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SERANGOON | 22.1% | 4.53 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | DOUBLE WIN | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 9.6% | 10.46 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 9.5% | 10.54 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | MISSION STRIKE | 8.0% | 12.53 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 7.9% | 12.73 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | NEARLY FINE | 5.4% | 18.50 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | PERFECT PAIRING | 4.2% | 23.86 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | MEGA FORCE | 4.1% | 24.10 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | VIVA TASTE | 3.5% | 28.44 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.0% | 33.87 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | DASHING DRAGON | 2.5% | 39.26 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 59
PLACE
1 37
3 116.5
8 22.5
QUINELLA
1,8 350
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 852.5
1,8 119.5
3,8 436
FORECAST
8,1 677
TIERCE
8,1,3 24,823
TRIO
1,3,8 5,824
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 12,677
QUARTET
8,1,3,2 228,735
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 127
3/8 221.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/1,3,8 232,526