Happy Valley · 2025-12-03 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-03 was Class 4 over 1200m. CALIFORNIA BLITZ, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won, with KNOW AT HEART second and ACE POWER third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ 1:09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 3.4 | — |
| 2 | 11 | KNOW AT HEART H Doyle · W Y So | H Doyle | W Y So | 5 | 9.3 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | ACE POWER L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WORD OF KINDNESS R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 1 | 85.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | JUICY DRAGON M Guyon · K L Man | M Guyon | K L Man | 8 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | MASTER PHOENIX B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 2 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | LUNAR DASH Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 9 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | I AM BACK D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 12 | 58.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ONE LOVE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | VON BAER K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | CIRCUIT DUFFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 84.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SUPER UNIVERSAL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.6 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER UNIVERSAL | 27.4% | 3.65 | 12 |
| 2 | 1 | LUNAR DASH | 23.8% | 4.20 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 18.4% | 5.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | KNOW AT HEART | 5.8% | 17.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | ACE POWER | 5.5% | 18.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | VON BAER | 5.1% | 19.69 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | MASTER PHOENIX | 4.6% | 21.54 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | I AM BACK | 2.3% | 43.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | JUICY DRAGON | 2.1% | 47.47 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | ONE LOVE | 2.0% | 50.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | WORD OF KINDNESS | 1.6% | 60.65 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 1.3% | 77.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 34.5
PLACE
3 47.5
6 14.5
11 23.5
QUINELLA
6,11 164
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 105
3,11 231.5
6,11 49
FORECAST
6,11 267
TIERCE
6,11,3 3,465
TRIO
3,6,11 814
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 10,487
QUARTET
6,11,3,5 109,862
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/3,6,11 42,157
5TH DOUBLE
8/6 436.5
8/11 117.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,6/1,8,9/3,6,11 1,435,033
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,6/1,8,9/Any Combination 4,091