跑馬地 · 2026-01-07 · 12:40
THE HONG KONG CLUB CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)
第 5場
2026-01-07跑馬地第5場「THE HONG KONG CLUB CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、W K Mo訓練的STORMI勝出。VIVACIOUS WIN獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA MOXIE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.5倍大熱門BULL ATTITUDE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STORMI 一路領先 CP1/TT 1:40.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 10 | 7.7 | — |
| 2 | 12 | VIVACIOUS WIN 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | TAKE ACTION 後段發力 B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GENERAL REDWOOD CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 11 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION B- A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 3 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | BULL ATTITUDE CP Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 6 | 3.5 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPERB GUY J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 1 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 CP1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE B/SR M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | UP WITH CHARM B/H C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 38.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ALL ROUND WINNER CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BULL ATTITUDE | 18.0% | 5.56 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 14.3% | 7.01 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPERB GUY | 11.2% | 8.95 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 9.6% | 10.39 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 8.5% | 11.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 7.8% | 12.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | NEARLY FINE | 7.5% | 13.26 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | STORMI | 7.0% | 14.31 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG | 6.1% | 16.38 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | TAKE ACTION | 5.6% | 17.85 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | UP WITH CHARM | 3.1% | 32.22 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | GENERAL REDWOOD | 1.3% | 75.11 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 77
PLACE
1 22.5
11 25.5
12 22
QUINELLA
11,12 263
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 96.5
1,12 116.5
11,12 90
FORECAST
11,12 681
TIERCE
11,12,1 4,739
TRIO
1,11,12 826
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 2,520
QUARTET
11,12,1,6 49,403
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/11/11 16,726
8/11/12 4,232
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,11/1,11,12 29,773
4TH DOUBLE
11/11 461
11/12 196