跑馬地 · 2026-01-07 · 10:40
MURRAY HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-01-07跑馬地第1場「MURRAY HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、B Crawford訓練的BEAUTY MISSILE勝出。ROMANTIC FANTASY獲得亞軍；STORM RUNNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門STORM RUNNER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY MISSILE 後段發力 V 1:49.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · B Crawford | H Bowman | B Crawford | 10 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 6 | ROMANTIC FANTASY 後段發力 B-/TT- A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 11 | 34.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | STORM RUNNER 後段發力 TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 2.4 | N |
| 4 | 10 | GOLD TACK 後段發力 CP K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CARRYON SMILING 後段發力 CP-/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 52.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | PERFECT PAIRING 後段發力 B D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 9 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SUPER SICARIO E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 6.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | LEATHER MASTER V C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | COSMO LIGHT P-/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 85.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI 早段領放 M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PERPETUAL POWER CP/TT J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 2 | 65.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | MAGIC COSMOS B R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 7 | 91.0 | 21-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS B/XB/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STORM RUNNER | 29.3% | 3.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | LEATHER MASTER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | GOLD TACK | 10.2% | 9.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER SICARIO | 8.7% | 11.52 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 8.5% | 11.72 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 8.4% | 11.91 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | PERFECT PAIRING | 6.2% | 16.19 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 5.5% | 18.26 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | PERPETUAL POWER | 3.1% | 32.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | CARRYON SMILING | 2.3% | 44.24 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | COSMO LIGHT | 2.0% | 50.21 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | MAGIC COSMOS | 0.9% | 106.92 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 48.5
PLACE
3 13
6 69.5
7 20
QUINELLA
6,7 1,439
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 170.5
3,7 35
6,7 355
FORECAST
7,6 2,178
TIERCE
7,6,3 7,862
TRIO
3,6,7 824
FIRST 4
3,6,7,10 1,129
QUARTET
7,6,3,10 28,101