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Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 18:40

MURRAY HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:49.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly V 1:49.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · B Crawford 10 4.8 —
2 6 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B-/TT- A Badel · J Richards 11 34.0 HD
3 3 STORM RUNNER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · P C Ng 5 2.4 N
4 10 GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D J Hall 4 11.0 1-1/4
5 4 CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly CP-/TT H Bentley · W Y So 6 52.0 1-1/2
6 2 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B D B McMonagle · J Size 9 15.0 2
7 5 SUPER SICARIO E C W Wong · C Fownes 12 6.7 3
8 12 LEATHER MASTER V C Y Ho · K L Man 1 8.6 3-1/4
9 11 COSMO LIGHT P-/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 85.0 5-3/4
10 9 WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early M L Yeung · A S Cruz 3 10.0 8-1/4
11 8 PERPETUAL POWER CP/TT J Orman · C W Chang 2 65.0 10-3/4
12 1 MAGIC COSMOS B R Kingscote · C H Yip 7 91.0 21-1/2
— 0 HAILTOTHEVICTORS B/XB/TT · D Eustace — — —
— 0 MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT · D Eustace — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 ("MURRAY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY MISSILE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by B Crawford, won, with ROMANTIC FANTASY second and STORM RUNNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite STORM RUNNER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY MISSILE—2. ROMANTIC FANTASY+0.2L3. STORM RUNNER+0.05L4. GOLD TACK+1.25L5. CARRYON SMILING+1.5L6. PERFECT PAIRING+2L7. SUPER SICARIO+3L8. LEATHER MASTER+3.25L9. COSMO LIGHT+5.75L10. WAH MAY WAI WAI+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STORM RUNNER (29.3%) finished 3rd — the winner BEAUTY MISSILE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 STORM RUNNER 29.3% 3.41 3
2 12 LEATHER MASTER 15.0% 6.68 8
3 10 GOLD TACK 10.2% 9.79 4
4 5 SUPER SICARIO 8.7% 11.52 7
5 9 WAH MAY WAI WAI 8.5% 11.72 10
6 7 BEAUTY MISSILE 8.4% 11.91 1
7 2 PERFECT PAIRING 6.2% 16.19 6
8 6 ROMANTIC FANTASY 5.5% 18.26 2
9 8 PERPETUAL POWER 3.1% 32.73 11
10 4 CARRYON SMILING 2.3% 44.24 5
11 11 COSMO LIGHT 2.0% 50.21 9
12 1 MAGIC COSMOS 0.9% 106.92 12
STORM RUNNERLEATHER MASTERGOLD TACKSUPER SICARIOWAH MAY WAI WAIBEAUTY MISSILE — wonPERFECT PAIRINGROMANTIC FANTASYPERPETUAL POWERCARRYON SMILINGCOSMO LIGHTMAGIC COSMOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 48.5

PLACE

3 13

6 69.5

7 20

QUINELLA

6,7 1,439

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 170.5

3,7 35

6,7 355

FORECAST

7,6 2,178

TIERCE

7,6,3 7,862

TRIO

3,6,7 824

FIRST 4

3,6,7,10 1,129

QUARTET

7,6,3,10 28,101