Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 12:10

JACKSON HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 4 ("JACKSON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JOLLY COMPANION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won, with SUPERB BOY second and ACE POWER third. The 3.8 favourite SUPERB BOY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:10.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 JOLLY COMPANION B/TT 1:10.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man 5 7.7
2 4 SUPERB BOY TT M Guyon · Y S Tsui 2 3.8 N
3 7 ACE POWER V/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte 6 4.2 2
4 9 KA YING RESILIENCE B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 12 14.0 2
5 12 SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor 4 9.7 2-1/2
6 1 FATAL BLOW B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 10 9.4 3
7 6 MEGA BONUS V K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 16.0 3-1/2
8 2 FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace 7 9.2 3-3/4
9 8 CAP LINER CP/TT L Hewitson · J Richards 8 17.0 3-3/4
10 5 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 9 60.0 4-3/4
11 10 CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 1 21.0 7-1/2
12 3 GREAT STATE V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 11 58.0 14-3/4
0 WARRIORS DREAM H/XB · B Crawford
0 GORGEOUS VICTORY TT · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JOLLY COMPANION2. SUPERB BOY+0.05L3. ACE POWER+2L4. KA YING RESILIENCE+2L5. SAVVY TWINKLE+2.5L6. FATAL BLOW+3L7. MEGA BONUS+3.5L8. FORTUNE WHISKEY+3.75L9. CAP LINER+3.75L10. FORTUNE SUPERNOVA+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ACE POWER (22.0%) finished 3rd — the winner JOLLY COMPANION was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 ACE POWER 22.0% 4.55 3
2 4 SUPERB BOY 10.9% 9.19 2
3 12 SAVVY TWINKLE 9.2% 10.92 5
4 9 KA YING RESILIENCE 8.9% 11.20 4
5 1 FATAL BLOW 8.1% 12.34 6
6 6 MEGA BONUS 7.9% 12.66 7
7 11 JOLLY COMPANION 7.6% 13.08 1
8 10 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 6.9% 14.44 11
9 8 CAP LINER 6.5% 15.36 9
10 2 FORTUNE WHISKEY 5.3% 18.90 8
11 3 GREAT STATE 5.0% 19.86 12
12 5 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 1.6% 61.36 10
ACE POWERSUPERB BOYSAVVY TWINKLEKA YING RESILIENCEFATAL BLOWMEGA BONUSJOLLY COMPANION — wonCRYSTAL POWERFULCAP LINERFORTUNE WHISKEYGREAT STATEFORTUNE SUPERNOVA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 77

PLACE

4 15.5

7 18.5

11 27.5

QUINELLA

4,11 136

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 61

4,11 56.5

7,11 87.5

FORECAST

11,4 354

TIERCE

11,4,7 1,906

TRIO

4,7,11 317

FIRST 4

4,7,9,11 783

QUARTET

11,4,7,9 17,706

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

8/4 243.5

8/11 2,555