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Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 19:40

CLUB HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:39.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K L Man 3 35.0 —
2 12 ACE WAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D J Whyte 4 2.1 1/2
3 4 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly E1 H Bowman · P F Yiu 9 7.2 1-3/4
4 10 GOLDEN BRILLIANT Closed strongly B A Badel · C Fownes 2 13.0 2-1/2
5 2 THE AZURE Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 5 17.0 2-1/2
6 3 AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT M Guyon · P C Ng 10 9.4 3-3/4
7 1 FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 11 8.5 4-3/4
8 5 WAVE GARDEN B-/XB/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 8 62.0 7-1/2
9 7 MATSU VICTOR V M L Yeung · K W Lui 1 9.2 10-1/2
10 11 ICONICAL Led early XB-/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 7 20.0 18-3/4
11 9 ZHOU GONGJIN B Y L Chung · B Crawford 6 76.0 22-1/2
12 6 KA YING GLORY BO-/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 12 27.0 25-1/4
— 0 FORTUNE STAR B/TT · M Newnham — — —
— 0 PING HAI COMET H · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("CLUB HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CELTIC TIMES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K L Man, won, with ACE WAR second and PRESTIGE RICKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ACE WAR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CELTIC TIMES—2. ACE WAR+0.5L3. PRESTIGE RICKY+1.75L4. GOLDEN BRILLIANT+2.5L5. THE AZURE+2.5L6. AEROINVINCIBLE+3.75L7. FORTUNATE SON+4.75L8. WAVE GARDEN+7.5L9. MATSU VICTOR+10.5L10. ICONICAL+18.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ACE WAR (28.5%) finished 2nd — the winner CELTIC TIMES was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 ACE WAR 28.5% 3.51 2
2 4 PRESTIGE RICKY 10.6% 9.47 3
3 1 FORTUNATE SON 9.3% 10.70 7
4 3 AEROINVINCIBLE 8.9% 11.23 6
5 2 THE AZURE 7.9% 12.70 5
6 10 GOLDEN BRILLIANT 7.6% 13.11 4
7 11 ICONICAL 7.1% 14.02 10
8 6 KA YING GLORY 5.8% 17.13 12
9 8 CELTIC TIMES 5.5% 18.12 1
10 7 MATSU VICTOR 4.9% 20.23 9
11 5 WAVE GARDEN 2.2% 45.84 8
12 9 ZHOU GONGJIN 1.6% 63.15 11
ACE WARPRESTIGE RICKYFORTUNATE SONAEROINVINCIBLETHE AZUREGOLDEN BRILLIANTICONICALKA YING GLORYCELTIC TIMES — wonMATSU VICTORWAVE GARDENZHOU GONGJIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 351

PLACE

4 18.5

8 62.5

12 12.5

QUINELLA

8,12 306

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 197.5

4,12 35

8,12 105

FORECAST

8,12 999

TIERCE

8,12,4 5,440

TRIO

4,8,12 463

FIRST 4

4,8,10,12 1,179

QUARTET

8,12,4,10 37,169

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,11/4,8,12 964,649

2ND DOUBLE

9/8 2,963.5

9/12 44