Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 11:40
CLUB HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("CLUB HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CELTIC TIMES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K L Man, won, with ACE WAR second and PRESTIGE RICKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite ACE WAR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 35.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | ACE WAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly E1 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT Closed strongly B A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | THE AZURE Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 10 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 11 | 8.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | WAVE GARDEN B-/XB/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 8 | 62.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR V M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 1 | 9.2 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | ICONICAL Led early XB-/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 20.0 | 18-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ZHOU GONGJIN B Y L Chung · B Crawford | Y L Chung | B Crawford | 6 | 76.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | KA YING GLORY BO-/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 27.0 | 25-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FORTUNE STAR B/TT · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PING HAI COMET H · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ACE WAR | 28.5% | 3.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 10.6% | 9.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON | 9.3% | 10.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | THE AZURE | 7.9% | 12.70 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT | 7.6% | 13.11 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | ICONICAL | 7.1% | 14.02 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | KA YING GLORY | 5.8% | 17.13 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES | 5.5% | 18.12 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | MATSU VICTOR | 4.9% | 20.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.2% | 45.84 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | ZHOU GONGJIN | 1.6% | 63.15 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 351
PLACE
4 18.5
8 62.5
12 12.5
QUINELLA
8,12 306
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 197.5
4,12 35
8,12 105
FORECAST
8,12 999
TIERCE
8,12,4 5,440
TRIO
4,8,12 463
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 1,179
QUARTET
8,12,4,10 37,169
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/4,8,12 964,649
2ND DOUBLE
9/8 2,963.5
9/12 44