Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 14:15
CONNAUGHT HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("CONNAUGHT HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PERFECT GENERAL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won, with MY DAY MY WAY second and REFUSETOBEENGLISH third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT 1:09.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 2.2 | — |
| 2 | 12 | MY DAY MY WAY CP/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SPIRIT OF PEACE M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT D B McMonagle · J Richards | D B McMonagle | J Richards | 10 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR B/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FORZA LEADER TT1 R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 109.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CHARMING BABE K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT MORE V C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SPICY GOLD P/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | LEAPING STAR H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 9 | 64.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H1/TT1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 103.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | YOUNG EMPEROR TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PAKISTAN LEGACY B/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PERFECT GENERAL | 21.3% | 4.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | MY DAY MY WAY | 13.5% | 7.41 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 11.8% | 8.49 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH | 10.0% | 9.97 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SPICY GOLD | 9.9% | 10.12 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR | 8.8% | 11.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | CHARMING BABE | 6.7% | 14.92 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 6.2% | 16.20 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.97 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | LEAPING STAR | 4.0% | 24.71 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | FORZA LEADER | 2.0% | 50.41 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR | 1.1% | 92.89 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 22.5
PLACE
9 27
10 12.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
10,12 77.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 46
9,12 80.5
10,12 29
FORECAST
10,12 114
TIERCE
10,12,9 635
TRIO
9,10,12 171
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 178
QUARTET
10,12,9,11 2,442
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
9/10 82.5
9/12 35.5