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Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 11:10

JACKSON HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 2 ("JACKSON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING KID, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with MASTER RESOLUTE second and GAMEPLAYER ELITE third. The 2.3 favourite RUN RUN SMART finished 10th.

Result

Official · 1:09.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 AMAZING KID 1:09.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 4 11.0
2 8 MASTER RESOLUTE H/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum 9 78.0 1
3 11 GAMEPLAYER ELITE B-/SR2/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 3 5.5 1-1/2
4 6 LOVING VIBES B C L Chau · K W Lui 2 4.4 2-1/4
5 5 BIG RETURN H1/TT J Orman · J Richards 12 25.0 4-3/4
6 7 LAKESHORE HERO A Badel · D J Hall 11 9.5 4-3/4
7 10 VIGOR ELLEEGANT XB/TT M Chadwick · K L Man 10 21.0 5
8 2 MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 6 81.0 5-1/4
9 12 SPEEDY TRIDENT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 8 54.0 7-1/4
10 3 RUN RUN SMART TT Z Purton · F C Lor 1 2.3 10-3/4
11 4 CELESTIAL STRIDER TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So 7 65.0 15-1/4
12 1 LUCKY TWENTY B1/XB1/TT- E C W Wong · K H Ting 5 23.0 17-3/4
0 AWESOME TREASURE TT · D A Hayes
0 THOUSAND CUPS TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING KID2. MASTER RESOLUTE+1L3. GAMEPLAYER ELITE+1.5L4. LOVING VIBES+2.25L5. BIG RETURN+4.75L6. LAKESHORE HERO+4.75L7. VIGOR ELLEEGANT+5L8. MARVEL AND GOLD+5.25L9. SPEEDY TRIDENT+7.25L10. RUN RUN SMART+10.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RUN RUN SMART (35.1%) finished 10th — the winner AMAZING KID was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 RUN RUN SMART 35.1% 2.85 10
2 6 LOVING VIBES 12.4% 8.08 4
3 9 AMAZING KID 11.1% 9.03 1
4 7 LAKESHORE HERO 8.5% 11.83 6
5 1 LUCKY TWENTY 8.4% 11.95 12
6 5 BIG RETURN 5.8% 17.37 5
7 11 GAMEPLAYER ELITE 5.5% 18.33 3
8 10 VIGOR ELLEEGANT 4.2% 23.91 7
9 4 CELESTIAL STRIDER 3.6% 28.00 11
10 12 SPEEDY TRIDENT 2.6% 39.02 9
11 2 MARVEL AND GOLD 1.9% 52.21 8
12 8 MASTER RESOLUTE 1.2% 81.70 2
RUN RUN SMARTLOVING VIBESAMAZING KID — wonLAKESHORE HEROLUCKY TWENTYBIG RETURNGAMEPLAYER ELITEVIGOR ELLEEGANTCELESTIAL STRIDERSPEEDY TRIDENTMARVEL AND GOLDMASTER RESOLUTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 115

PLACE

8 169

9 30.5

11 18

QUINELLA

8,9 6,246.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,9 1,432

8,11 1,071

9,11 75

FORECAST

9,8 4,604

TIERCE

9,8,11 62,396

TRIO

8,9,11 10,564

FIRST 4

6,8,9,11 5,685

QUARTET

9,8,11,6 334,704

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/8 906

7/9 530.5