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Happy Valley · 2026-01-07 · 14:50

DES VOEUX HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 ("DES VOEUX HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-07 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SOLID WIN, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won, with CORLEONE second and YOUNG ACHIEVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite CORLEONE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:40.05
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 SOLID WIN Closed strongly 1:40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 14.0
2 7 CORLEONE TT M Guyon · C Fownes 4 2.0 1/2
3 4 YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT H Bentley · J Richards 9 33.0 1-1/4
4 3 KING LOTUS CP1 L Hewitson · M Newnham 6 6.7 2
5 1 A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size 12 20.0 2
6 8 FIVEFORTWO Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 22.0 2-3/4
7 6 LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 11 75.0 3-1/4
8 10 FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 3 8.2 3-3/4
9 2 LOCH TAY BO/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 5 16.0 4-3/4
10 9 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo 1 23.0 7
11 5 ANOTHER ZONDA B J Orman · Y S Tsui 10 18.0 7-3/4
12 12 BEAUTY GLORY Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 12.0 17-1/2
0 SAMARKAND CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes
0 AESTHETICISM B · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOLID WIN2. CORLEONE+0.5L3. YOUNG ACHIEVER+1.25L4. KING LOTUS+2L5. A AMERIC TE SPECSO+2L6. FIVEFORTWO+2.75L7. LO PAN SPIRIT+3.25L8. FANTASTIC FUN+3.75L9. LOCH TAY+4.75L10. ROMANTIC LAOS+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CORLEONE (26.0%) finished 2nd — the winner SOLID WIN was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 CORLEONE 26.0% 3.85 2
2 3 KING LOTUS 16.5% 6.07 4
3 10 FANTASTIC FUN 11.6% 8.65 8
4 11 SOLID WIN 10.1% 9.92 1
5 5 ANOTHER ZONDA 6.3% 15.83 11
6 1 A AMERIC TE SPECSO 6.0% 16.67 5
7 9 ROMANTIC LAOS 5.2% 19.30 10
8 12 BEAUTY GLORY 4.8% 20.62 12
9 2 LOCH TAY 4.2% 23.58 9
10 4 YOUNG ACHIEVER 4.0% 25.01 3
11 8 FIVEFORTWO 3.1% 32.35 6
12 6 LO PAN SPIRIT 2.3% 43.92 7
CORLEONEKING LOTUSFANTASTIC FUNSOLID WIN — wonANOTHER ZONDAA AMERIC TE SPECSOROMANTIC LAOSBEAUTY GLORYLOCH TAYYOUNG ACHIEVERFIVEFORTWOLO PAN SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 141.5

PLACE

4 65.5

7 12.5

11 36

QUINELLA

7,11 121

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 111.5

4,11 432.5

7,11 47.5

FORECAST

11,7 446

TIERCE

11,7,4 6,783

TRIO

4,7,11 1,074

FIRST 4

3,4,7,11 1,428

QUARTET

11,7,4,3 40,081

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

9/10/7 21

9/10/11 1,424

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

9,10,12/4,7,11 31,525

8TH DOUBLE

10/7 13

10/11 433

SIX UP

4,11/11,12/6,8/7,9/10,12/7,11 3,207

11/11/8/9/10/11 258,909

2 [C Y Ho]

1 [C Fownes]