沙田 · 2026-01-25 · 07:40
WAIKUKU HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-01-25沙田第7場「WAIKUKU HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、D A Hayes訓練的POSITIVE SMILE勝出。AEROINVINCIBLE獲得亞軍；FORZA TORO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.2倍大熱門ALL'S WELL跑獲第8名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | POSITIVE SMILE 後段發力 B/TT 1:21.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FORZA TORO 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | BIG RETURN 後段發力 H/TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 10 | 45.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | STERLING WONGCHOY B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY BALERION 後段發力 L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | TIME TO FIRE 後段發力 CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ALL'S WELL H/TT M Guyon · C H Yip | M Guyon | C H Yip | 3 | 5.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PROUD BOX TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SMILING FALCON CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | AQUAMAN CP/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 5 | 142.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON 早段領放 B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 33.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | BIGTIME GENERATION XB H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 38-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | UP WITH CHARM B/H M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 131.0 | 40-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUNAR DASH CP- · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALL'S WELL | 17.1% | 5.85 | 8 |
| 2 | 14 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 11.5% | 8.68 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | TIME TO FIRE | 9.4% | 10.61 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY BALERION | 8.7% | 11.45 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | FORZA TORO | 8.6% | 11.67 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | BIGTIME GENERATION | 8.2% | 12.21 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | POSITIVE SMILE | 7.8% | 12.78 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 7.6% | 13.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | PROUD BOX | 6.2% | 16.00 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | SMILING FALCON | 4.9% | 20.51 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.23 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | BIG RETURN | 2.6% | 38.84 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | UP WITH CHARM | 2.4% | 42.14 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | AQUAMAN | 1.2% | 85.12 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 64.5
PLACE
2 27.5
4 23
7 22
QUINELLA
4,7 186
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 93
2,7 92
4,7 67
FORECAST
4,7 525
TIERCE
4,7,2 2,968
TRIO
2,4,7 593
FIRST 4
2,4,7,8 5,167
QUARTET
4,7,2,8 61,762
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/2,4,7 1,888
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 52
1/7 13.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,11/1,2,3/2,4,7 71,294
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,11/1,2,3/Any Combination 172