跑馬地 · 2026-01-28 · 10:40
FENWICK HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-01-28跑馬地第1場「FENWICK HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAVVY TWINKLE勝出。MODEST GENTLEMAN獲得亞軍；ISLAND BREEZES獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門SPICY SPANGLE跑獲第4名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT 0:56.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 11 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPICY SPANGLE H2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT CP-/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CONCORDE STAR TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | SKY SONG V/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HAPPY BOYS XB D B McMonagle · M Newnham | D B McMonagle | M Newnham | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SMART ENGINEER B1/XB1/TT- D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 11 | 75.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TURF PHOENIX B2/TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 5 | 66.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 52.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | RACINGRACE XB · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT2 · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 20.2% | 4.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ISLAND BREEZES | 18.7% | 5.35 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | CONCORDE STAR | 10.7% | 9.33 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | SPICY SPANGLE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | SKY SONG | 7.9% | 12.61 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY BOYS | 7.8% | 12.82 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 6.9% | 14.51 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 6.1% | 16.36 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 4.2% | 23.93 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | SMART ENGINEER | 3.4% | 29.33 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | MULTIDUTCH | 2.8% | 35.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | TURF PHOENIX | 2.3% | 43.12 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 48
PLACE
1 20.5
4 18.5
11 56.5
QUINELLA
4,11 581.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 56.5
1,11 203.5
4,11 158.5
FORECAST
4,11 891
TIERCE
4,11,1 7,477
TRIO
1,4,11 1,008
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 686
QUARTET
4,11,1,2 20,470