跑馬地 · 2026-01-28 · 14:15
O'BRIEN HANDICAP
第 8場
2026-01-28跑馬地第8場「O'BRIEN HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、D A Hayes訓練的CHINA WIN勝出。LIVEANDLETLIVE獲得亞軍；MONEY CATCHER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHINA WIN 後段發力 1:47.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 2.5 | — |
| 2 | 4 | LIVEANDLETLIVE 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.5 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | MONEY CATCHER 後段發力 CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ENTHRALLED 後段發力 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | CHARITY GAIN 後段發力 CP-/XB-/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | SOLID WIN 後段發力 D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 88.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY B/TT M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | I CAN H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 20.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | MORGAN SUCCESS B-/XB/CP2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 34.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT TEAM B/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SAMARKAND CP/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHINA WIN | 25.8% | 3.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 19.1% | 5.25 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 13.5% | 7.40 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | ENTHRALLED | 7.3% | 13.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | CHARITY GAIN | 6.2% | 16.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | I CAN | 5.2% | 19.21 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 4.6% | 21.55 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | MONEY CATCHER | 4.6% | 21.68 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | ROMANTIC THOR | 4.5% | 22.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | SOLID WIN | 4.2% | 23.70 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 2.5% | 39.44 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 2.4% | 41.18 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 25.5
PLACE
4 17.5
6 30
12 14.5
QUINELLA
4,12 77
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 79
4,12 29.5
6,12 65
FORECAST
12,4 126
TIERCE
12,4,6 856
TRIO
4,6,12 193
FIRST 4
4,6,9,12 404
QUARTET
12,4,6,9 4,881
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 45.5
3/12 143.5