沙田 · 2026-02-08 · 04:30
FU TAI HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-02-08沙田第1場「FU TAI HANDICAP」,Class 5,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由M Guyon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的THE CONCENTRATION勝出。WINNING MACHINE獲得亞軍;GALE SAGA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門WINNING MACHINE跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動(2)
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE CONCENTRATION 後段發力 B 1:22.72 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) M Guyon · P F Yiu | M Guyon | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.1 | — |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING MACHINE 後段發力 B-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | GALE SAGA 後段發力 B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MY FLYING ANGEL 後段發力 B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT 後段發力 XB/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 2 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | SUPREME WINNER CP/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER 早段領放 BO/SR/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 1 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER 後段發力 B/XB D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 10 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | EURO ROCKS B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEEDY TRIDENT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 7 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 P-/B2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 11 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN V-/CP2 M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 12 | 36.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | GOOD PROSPECT H-/TT1 L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 9 | 23.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | RATTAN GALAXY CP/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | RICH HORSE XB · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | GALE SAGA | 11.2% | 8.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER | 11.0% | 9.10 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 10.6% | 9.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 10.3% | 9.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING MACHINE | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | THE CONCENTRATION | 9.5% | 10.58 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD PROSPECT | 6.1% | 16.39 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPREME WINNER | 4.7% | 21.09 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | EURO ROCKS | 3.8% | 26.55 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.9% | 34.46 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.57 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN | 2.8% | 36.08 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER | 2.2% | 44.61 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 81.5
PLACE
1 27
3 19
8 23.5
QUINELLA
3,8 199.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 74
1,8 78
3,8 71
FORECAST
8,3 435
TIERCE
8,3,1 2,976
TRIO
1,3,8 488
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 527
QUARTET
8,3,1,5 13,309