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Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 12:30

FU TAI HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 9.42 #13 EURO ROCKS — Weight Change #14 SUPREME WINNER — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:22.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 THE CONCENTRATION Closed strongly B 1:22.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · P F Yiu 8 8.1 —
2 3 WINNING MACHINE Closed strongly B-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 13 4.4 1
3 1 GALE SAGA Closed strongly B K Teetan · P C Ng 4 8.6 1-1/2
4 5 MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly B A Badel · F C Lor 3 9.0 2
5 7 MAJESTIC DELIGHT Closed strongly XB/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 2 4.5 2-3/4
6 14 SUPREME WINNER CP/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 31.0 3
7 6 JOLLY JUMPER Led early BO/SR/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 14 11.0 3-1/4
8 9 MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 1 7.3 4-3/4
9 11 SMART ENGINEER Closed strongly B/XB D Probert · K W Lui 10 58.0 5
10 13 EURO ROCKS B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 6 33.0 5-3/4
11 2 SPEEDY TRIDENT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui 7 42.0 6
12 10 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P-/B2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang 11 52.0 7
13 12 THE WAY WE WIN V-/CP2 M L Yeung · J Richards 12 36.0 8
14 4 GOOD PROSPECT H-/TT1 L Ferraris · B Crawford 9 23.0 9-1/4
— 0 RATTAN GALAXY CP/TT · K L Man — — —
— 0 RICH HORSE XB · D J Hall — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 ("FU TAI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. THE CONCENTRATION, ridden by M Guyon and trained by P F Yiu, won, with WINNING MACHINE second and GALE SAGA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite WINNING MACHINE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE CONCENTRATION—2. WINNING MACHINE+1L3. GALE SAGA+1.5L4. MY FLYING ANGEL+2L5. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+2.75L6. SUPREME WINNER+3L7. JOLLY JUMPER+3.25L8. MANYTHANKS FOREVER+4.75L9. SMART ENGINEER+5L10. EURO ROCKS+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MAJESTIC DELIGHT (11.8%) finished 5th — the winner THE CONCENTRATION was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 11.8% 8.50 5
2 1 GALE SAGA 11.2% 8.91 3
3 6 JOLLY JUMPER 11.0% 9.10 7
4 9 MANYTHANKS FOREVER 10.6% 9.42 8
5 5 MY FLYING ANGEL 10.3% 9.67 4
6 3 WINNING MACHINE 10.2% 9.81 2
7 8 THE CONCENTRATION 9.5% 10.58 1
8 4 GOOD PROSPECT 6.1% 16.39 14
9 14 SUPREME WINNER 4.7% 21.09 6
10 13 EURO ROCKS 3.8% 26.55 10
11 2 SPEEDY TRIDENT 2.9% 34.46 11
12 10 CASA LEGEND 2.9% 34.57 12
13 12 THE WAY WE WIN 2.8% 36.08 13
14 11 SMART ENGINEER 2.2% 44.61 9
MAJESTIC DELIGHTGALE SAGAJOLLY JUMPERMANYTHANKS FOREVERMY FLYING ANGELWINNING MACHINETHE CONCENTRATION — wonGOOD PROSPECTSUPREME WINNEREURO ROCKSSPEEDY TRIDENTCASA LEGENDTHE WAY WE WINSMART ENGINEER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 81.5

PLACE

1 27

3 19

8 23.5

QUINELLA

3,8 199.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 74

1,8 78

3,8 71

FORECAST

8,3 435

TIERCE

8,3,1 2,976

TRIO

1,3,8 488

FIRST 4

1,3,5,8 527

QUARTET

8,3,1,5 13,309