Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 04:30
FU TAI HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("FU TAI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. THE CONCENTRATION, ridden by M Guyon and trained by P F Yiu, won, with WINNING MACHINE second and GALE SAGA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite WINNING MACHINE finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE CONCENTRATION Closed strongly B 1:22.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · P F Yiu | M Guyon | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.1 | — |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING MACHINE Closed strongly B-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | GALE SAGA Closed strongly B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MY FLYING ANGEL Closed strongly B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT Closed strongly XB/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 2 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | SUPREME WINNER CP/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER Led early BO/SR/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 1 | 7.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER Closed strongly B/XB D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 10 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | EURO ROCKS B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEEDY TRIDENT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 7 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P-/B2/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 11 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN V-/CP2 M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 12 | 36.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | GOOD PROSPECT H-/TT1 L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 9 | 23.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | RATTAN GALAXY CP/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | RICH HORSE XB · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | GALE SAGA | 11.2% | 8.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | JOLLY JUMPER | 11.0% | 9.10 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 10.6% | 9.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 10.3% | 9.67 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING MACHINE | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | THE CONCENTRATION | 9.5% | 10.58 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | GOOD PROSPECT | 6.1% | 16.39 | 14 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPREME WINNER | 4.7% | 21.09 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | EURO ROCKS | 3.8% | 26.55 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.9% | 34.46 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.57 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | THE WAY WE WIN | 2.8% | 36.08 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER | 2.2% | 44.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 81.5
PLACE
1 27
3 19
8 23.5
QUINELLA
3,8 199.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 74
1,8 78
3,8 71
FORECAST
8,3 435
TIERCE
8,3,1 2,976
TRIO
1,3,8 488
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 527
QUARTET
8,3,1,5 13,309