Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 05:30
ON TING HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("ON TING HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY RANGER, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won, with AEROVOLANIC second and AQUAMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY RANGER Closed strongly 1:21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 13 | 2.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | AEROVOLANIC Closed strongly CP Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | AQUAMAN Closed strongly CP/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 11 | 161.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY YEAR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | KING PROFIT TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MEGA MASTERMIND Led early B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GOLDEN FORTUNE CP K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 2 | 124.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING AMANI Closed strongly XB M Guyon · D J Hall | M Guyon | D J Hall | 12 | 42.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | YOUNG LEGACY Closed strongly B J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 6 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | WINNING NOW B/TT- A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | TOP TIME D B McMonagle · W Y So | D B McMonagle | W Y So | 9 | 9.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | DAILY TROPHY TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 7 | 91.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS XB L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CIRCUIT CENTURY B/XB · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 6 | E PASSION CP1/TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AEROVOLANIC | 26.2% | 3.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 24.6% | 4.06 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY RANGER | 15.8% | 6.34 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | TOP TIME | 7.9% | 12.71 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | FLYING AMANI | 5.2% | 19.09 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY YEAR | 4.0% | 24.99 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | KING PROFIT | 3.9% | 25.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING NOW | 3.3% | 30.33 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | MEGA MASTERMIND | 3.1% | 31.79 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | DAILY TROPHY | 2.1% | 47.91 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUNG LEGACY | 1.5% | 64.55 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 1.2% | 84.33 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | AQUAMAN | 1.1% | 90.16 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 20.5
PLACE
3 17.5
5 12.5
11 281
QUINELLA
3,5 64
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 27.5
3,11 1,036.5
5,11 544.5
FORECAST
5,3 117
TIERCE
5,3,11 6,472
TRIO
3,5,11 2,413
FIRST 4
3,5,7,11 6,557
QUARTET
5,3,11,7 120,689
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/3,5,11 683,101
2ND DOUBLE
12/3 219
12/5 564.5