Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 05:00
LUNG YAT HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("LUNG YAT HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KING DANCE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by K W Lui, won, with HERBAL STAR second and GLACIATED third. The 1.9 favourite MR COOL finished 4th.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | KING DANCE B/XB 1:09.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | HERBAL STAR M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 5.4 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | GLACIATED B-/PC1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | MR COOL CP2/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SHINYU KOKOROE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ZOUPER FELLOW TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | NATURAL HIGH B- C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT B/XB/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 5 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | GLORY CLOUD TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LUCKY XANDER B-/V2 D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 3 | 64.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SMILING CHAMPION CP1 J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 4 | 59.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FULL OF LAUGHTER SR/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 2 | FLOWING RICHES CP-/B1 E C W Wong · K H Ting | E C W Wong | K H Ting | 11 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MR COOL | 56.8% | 1.76 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | HERBAL STAR | 7.7% | 12.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | GLORY CLOUD | 7.4% | 13.51 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | KING DANCE | 5.6% | 17.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | GLACIATED | 4.3% | 23.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 3.5% | 28.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 3.5% | 28.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | NATURAL HIGH | 3.0% | 32.83 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | SMILING CHAMPION | 2.2% | 44.94 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 2.2% | 45.93 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 2.1% | 48.24 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY XANDER | 1.7% | 58.47 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 142.5
PLACE
1 17
8 45
12 33
QUINELLA
1,12 392.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 124.5
1,12 103
8,12 364
FORECAST
12,1 817
TIERCE
12,1,8 11,715
TRIO
1,8,12 1,931
FIRST 4
1,3,8,12 507
QUARTET
12,1,8,3 22,114
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 74.5
8/12 1,176