Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 06:00
LUNG YAT HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("LUNG YAT HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD CHAP, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D J Hall, won, with SPEEDY SMARTIE second and ONE MAN SHOW third. The 2.4 favourite SPEEDY SMARTIE finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOOD CHAP CP-/B1 1:08.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 10 | 25.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 12 | 2.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | ONE MAN SHOW XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | JUICY DRAGON B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | DAY DAY VICTORY C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | KINGDOM OF RICHES H/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 137.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | FORERUNNER TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 2 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY SECRET TT J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 4 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SKY CAP B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 9.5 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER MASTERMIND CP/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 3 | 167.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS H/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CONRAD THE GREAT SR/XB/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ONE MAN SHOW | 21.9% | 4.57 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA | 17.0% | 5.90 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 14.6% | 6.85 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 12.7% | 7.87 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | JUICY DRAGON | 10.5% | 9.52 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SKY CAP | 6.6% | 15.20 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | GOOD CHAP | 5.1% | 19.65 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 4.5% | 22.02 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | FORERUNNER | 3.3% | 30.76 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | KINGDOM OF RICHES | 1.6% | 62.60 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER MASTERMIND | 1.2% | 81.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCKY SECRET | 1.1% | 94.69 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 252
PLACE
1 19
3 13.5
11 60
QUINELLA
3,11 348.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 37
1,11 183
3,11 111.5
FORECAST
11,3 852
TIERCE
11,3,1 4,274
TRIO
1,3,11 446
FIRST 4
1,3,11,12 485
QUARTET
11,3,1,12 16,274
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 17
5/11 512.5