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Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 08:40

WU KING HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 9 ("WU KING HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. AURORA PATCH, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by K L Man, won, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and MAGNIFIQUE third. The 2.4 favourite VICTORY SKY finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 9.42

Result

Official · 1:07.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 AURORA PATCH V/TT 1:07.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · K L Man 3 9.7
2 11 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT K Teetan · M Newnham 6 15.0 1/2
3 2 MAGNIFIQUE J Orman · D J Hall 12 5.8 1
4 6 GUMMY GUMMY CP/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang 2 9.4 2-1/2
5 3 VICTORY SKY TT Z Purton · P F Yiu 8 2.4 4-1/4
6 8 VULCANUS B M Guyon · Y S Tsui 9 24.0 4-1/2
7 4 BLAZING WIND B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 1 7.8 4-1/2
8 10 RYUI KOKOROE H Bentley · D A Hayes 11 21.0 4-1/2
9 1 HORSEPOWER XB/TT H Bowman · F C Lor 10 22.0 5
10 7 MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size 5 17.0 6-1/4
11 12 LET'S HAVE FUN CP/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes 7 78.0 6-3/4
12 9 LUCKY DOCTOR XB-/TT2 L Hewitson · P C Ng 4 62.0 14-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AURORA PATCH2. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+0.5L3. MAGNIFIQUE+1L4. GUMMY GUMMY+2.5L5. VICTORY SKY+4.25L6. VULCANUS+4.5L7. BLAZING WIND+4.5L8. RYUI KOKOROE+4.5L9. HORSEPOWER+5L10. MUST GO+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VICTORY SKY (30.0%) finished 5th — the winner AURORA PATCH was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 VICTORY SKY 30.0% 3.33 5
2 2 MAGNIFIQUE 17.8% 5.63 3
3 4 BLAZING WIND 10.1% 9.90 7
4 11 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 9.7% 10.35 2
5 5 AURORA PATCH 6.4% 15.51 1
6 1 HORSEPOWER 6.4% 15.71 9
7 7 MUST GO 5.0% 20.13 10
8 6 GUMMY GUMMY 4.3% 23.30 4
9 9 LUCKY DOCTOR 4.1% 24.35 12
10 8 VULCANUS 3.7% 27.09 6
11 10 RYUI KOKOROE 1.5% 68.27 8
12 12 LET'S HAVE FUN 1.1% 87.71 11
VICTORY SKYMAGNIFIQUEBLAZING WINDARMOUR WAR EAGLEAURORA PATCH — wonHORSEPOWERMUST GOGUMMY GUMMYLUCKY DOCTORVULCANUSRYUI KOKOROELET'S HAVE FUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 97.5

PLACE

2 21

5 24

11 36

QUINELLA

5,11 547.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 85

2,11 118

5,11 144.5

FORECAST

5,11 1,054

TIERCE

5,11,2 8,198

TRIO

2,5,11 954

FIRST 4

2,5,6,11 1,479

QUARTET

5,11,2,6 45,591

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,7/2,5,11 8,086

8TH DOUBLE

7/5 166

7/11 47