Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 07:00
THE YAN OI TONG CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 6
Race 6 ("THE YAN OI TONG CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ISLAND BUDDY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with MALPENSA second and CONRAD PATCH third. The 3.2 favourite CONRAD PATCH finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ISLAND BUDDY 1:09.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | MALPENSA XB1/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 9 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CONRAD PATCH TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 7 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H-/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | VOYAGE BOSS B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PERIDOT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SO MY FOLKS CP/XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CAP LINER CP-/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | ALABAMA SONG H D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 11 | 61.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | RUNJEET XB/H1/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 8 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | INVICTUS DRAGON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE B/TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 10 | 31.0 | 4 |
| — | 0 | TOP MAESTRO B1 · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CONRAD PATCH | 22.8% | 4.38 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | SO MY FOLKS | 12.5% | 7.98 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | VOYAGE BOSS | 11.4% | 8.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 11.3% | 8.89 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | ISLAND BUDDY | 8.5% | 11.73 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 7.0% | 14.29 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE | 6.8% | 14.80 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | PERIDOT | 6.5% | 15.45 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | MALPENSA | 6.1% | 16.38 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | ALABAMA SONG | 3.1% | 31.93 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | CAP LINER | 2.2% | 44.86 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | RUNJEET | 1.8% | 54.81 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 107
PLACE
2 15.5
4 27.5
7 27.5
QUINELLA
4,7 543.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 65
2,7 55
4,7 150
FORECAST
7,4 916
TIERCE
7,4,2 2,987
TRIO
2,4,7 376
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 1,634
QUARTET
7,4,2,3 47,614
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 72.5
5/7 468