Sha Tin · 2026-02-08 · 17:50
YAU OI HANDICAP
Race 11
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FLOW WATER FLOW Closed strongly B 1:48.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 4.5 | — |
| 2 | 2 | KARMA Closed strongly TT D B McMonagle · C Fownes | D B McMonagle | C Fownes | 11 | 34.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 4 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 14 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 13 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | PACKING FIGHTER H1/XB1/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 3 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MONEY CATCHER CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SMART AVENUE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 12 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY B B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | AERODYNAMICS Led early TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 72.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | VIOLET STAR XB-/SR/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | EXCELLENCE VALUE CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 111.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FALLON B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 ("YAU OI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FLOW WATER FLOW, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with KARMA second and DAZZLING FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite DAZZLING FIT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DAZZLING FIT | 23.4% | 4.28 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SMART AVENUE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 13 | FLOW WATER FLOW | 14.5% | 6.91 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH | 14.4% | 6.93 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 4.8% | 20.94 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 4.5% | 22.43 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | MONEY CATCHER | 4.0% | 25.22 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | VIOLET STAR | 3.8% | 26.58 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | POPE CODY | 3.7% | 26.94 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | AERODYNAMICS | 3.2% | 31.12 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | KARMA | 3.1% | 31.79 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | PACKING FIGHTER | 2.1% | 46.69 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 2.0% | 50.77 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 1.9% | 53.54 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 45
PLACE
2 68.5
4 18.5
13 18.5
QUINELLA
2,13 861.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 243.5
2,13 268.5
4,13 55.5
FORECAST
13,2 1,081
TIERCE
13,2,4 8,503
TRIO
2,4,13 1,409
FIRST 4
2,4,11,13 4,240
QUARTET
13,2,4,11 88,184
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
4/2 212.5
4/13 123.5
2ND TREBLE
5/4/2 1,413
5/4/13 1,530
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,4,13 19,235
SIX UP
4,7/5,9/5,7/5,11/2,4/2,13 19,240
7/9/7/5/4/13 108,982
3 [K W Lui] —
3 [A Atzeni] —