沙田 · 2026-03-01 · 10:00
CITI CREDIT CARD HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-03-01沙田第11場「CITI CREDIT CARD HANDICAP」,Class 2,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、W K Mo訓練的EMBLAZON勝出。JUNEAU PRIDE獲得亞軍;MUGEN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動(4)
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EMBLAZON 後段發力 TT 1:21.74 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 6 | 2.6 | — |
| 2 | 10 | JUNEAU PRIDE 後段發力 H- A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | MUGEN 後段發力 Z Purton · B Crawford | Z Purton | B Crawford | 2 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | ALL OUT FOR SIX M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SON PAK FU 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 45.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY B/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL 後段發力 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | LADY'S CHOICE 早段領放 B-/P2 R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 4 | 51.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MR ASCENDENCY 後段發力 V/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 74.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | NEW FOREST TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 37.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 11 | MID WINTER WIND M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EMBLAZON | 39.0% | 2.56 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 20.9% | 4.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | GUSTOSISIMO | 12.3% | 8.13 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | NEW FOREST | 5.4% | 18.55 | 11 |
| 5 | 4 | MUGEN | 5.2% | 19.13 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | ALL OUT FOR SIX | 4.3% | 23.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 3.3% | 30.47 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.1% | 32.28 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | SON PAK FU | 2.5% | 39.49 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.2% | 45.47 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.7% | 59.85 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 26.5
PLACE
4 27
9 12.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
9,10 46
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 55
4,10 66
9,10 22
FORECAST
9,10 84
TIERCE
9,10,4 523
TRIO
4,9,10 198
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 141
QUARTET
9,10,4,7 1,868
全部彩池(另 4 項)
10TH DOUBLE
1/9 264
1/10 87
2ND TREBLE
14/1/9 4,399
14/1/10 1,530
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/4,9,10 41,895
SIX UP
2,3/1,5/3,4/4,14/1,11/9,10 2,866
3/1/3/14/1/9 809,259
5 [K W Lui] —
3 [C L Chau] —