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Sha Tin · 2026-03-01 · 10:00

CITI CREDIT CARD HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 11 runners

Race 11 ("CITI CREDIT CARD HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-01 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EMBLAZON, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won, with JUNEAU PRIDE second and MUGEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #11 MID WINTER WIND — Code 92 #12 MR ASCENDENCY — Weight Change #8 ALL OUT FOR SIX — Jockey Change #9 EMBLAZON — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 EMBLAZON Closed strongly TT 1:21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo 6 2.6
2 10 JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly H- A Atzeni · J Size 9 3.5 3/4
3 4 MUGEN Closed strongly Z Purton · B Crawford 2 9.7 1-1/2
4 7 GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 6.2 1-1/2
5 8 ALL OUT FOR SIX M Chadwick · M Newnham 10 10.0 1-1/2
6 6 SON PAK FU Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 5 45.0 2-1/2
7 1 HEALTHY HAPPY B/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor 7 18.0 3
8 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 11 17.0 3-1/2
9 5 LADY'S CHOICE Led early B-/P2 R Kingscote · C W Chang 4 51.0 5-1/4
10 12 MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 74.0 9
11 3 NEW FOREST TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 37.0 10-3/4
11 MID WINTER WIND M Chadwick · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EMBLAZON2. JUNEAU PRIDE+0.75L3. MUGEN+1.5L4. GUSTOSISIMO+1.5L5. ALL OUT FOR SIX+1.5L6. SON PAK FU+2.5L7. HEALTHY HAPPY+3L8. BEAUTY ETERNAL+3.5L9. LADY'S CHOICE+5.25L10. MR ASCENDENCY+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick EMBLAZON (39.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 EMBLAZON 39.0% 2.56 1
2 10 JUNEAU PRIDE 20.9% 4.77 2
3 7 GUSTOSISIMO 12.3% 8.13 4
4 3 NEW FOREST 5.4% 18.55 11
5 4 MUGEN 5.2% 19.13 3
6 8 ALL OUT FOR SIX 4.3% 23.00 5
7 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL 3.3% 30.47 8
8 1 HEALTHY HAPPY 3.1% 32.28 7
9 6 SON PAK FU 2.5% 39.49 6
10 5 LADY'S CHOICE 2.2% 45.47 9
11 12 MR ASCENDENCY 1.7% 59.85 10
EMBLAZON — wonJUNEAU PRIDEGUSTOSISIMONEW FORESTMUGENALL OUT FOR SIXBEAUTY ETERNALHEALTHY HAPPYSON PAK FULADY'S CHOICEMR ASCENDENCY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 26.5

PLACE

4 27

9 12.5

10 14.5

QUINELLA

9,10 46

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 55

4,10 66

9,10 22

FORECAST

9,10 84

TIERCE

9,10,4 523

TRIO

4,9,10 198

FIRST 4

4,7,9,10 141

QUARTET

9,10,4,7 1,868

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

1/9 264

1/10 87

2ND TREBLE

14/1/9 4,399

14/1/10 1,530

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,10,11/4,9,10 41,895

SIX UP

2,3/1,5/3,4/4,14/1,11/9,10 2,866

3/1/3/14/1/9 809,259

5 [K W Lui]

3 [C L Chau]