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Sha Tin · 2026-03-01 · 06:00

CITIGOLD HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 4 ("CITIGOLD HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WARRIORS DREAM, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by B Crawford, won, with ALSONSO second and GOLD PATCH third. The 1.6 favourite GOLD PATCH finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #11 WARRIORS DREAM — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:10.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 WARRIORS DREAM H-/XB/TT2 1:10.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · B Crawford 6 15.0
2 1 ALSONSO L Ferraris · M Newnham 7 43.0 1/2
3 3 GOLD PATCH J McDonald · K W Lui 13 1.6 1-1/4
4 6 DAILY ACCLAIM A Badel · C Fownes 8 20.0 1-1/2
5 9 PRECISION HOPE B Avdulla · D A Hayes 11 81.0 1-3/4
6 14 ALWAYS FLUKE H/B2/TT H Bentley · W Y So 12 15.0 2-1/2
7 5 BEST FARM C L Chau · K L Man 1 55.0 3
8 2 FIND MY LOVE B/TT D B McMonagle · D J Whyte 9 24.0 3-1/4
9 10 VICTORY CHAMPION CP K C Leung · F C Lor 2 6.9 4-1/2
10 13 SUPER MASTERMIND B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 4 229.0 5-1/4
11 4 MOTOR B/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 14 32.0 5-3/4
12 8 GLACIATED PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 3 6.8 5-3/4
13 12 YOUNG LEGACY B A Atzeni · J Size 5 125.0 6-1/4
14 7 RISING FROM EAST B1 M L Yeung · C H Yip 10 119.0 23-1/4
0 GOLDEN LUCK B/TT · K L Man
0 LEAN MASTER B/TT · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WARRIORS DREAM2. ALSONSO+0.5L3. GOLD PATCH+1.25L4. DAILY ACCLAIM+1.5L5. PRECISION HOPE+1.75L6. ALWAYS FLUKE+2.5L7. BEST FARM+3L8. FIND MY LOVE+3.25L9. VICTORY CHAMPION+4.5L10. SUPER MASTERMIND+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOLD PATCH (50.4%) finished 3rd — the winner WARRIORS DREAM was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 GOLD PATCH 50.4% 1.98 3
2 8 GLACIATED 8.0% 12.43 12
3 10 VICTORY CHAMPION 7.9% 12.67 9
4 6 DAILY ACCLAIM 6.6% 15.11 4
5 11 WARRIORS DREAM 5.5% 18.04 1
6 2 FIND MY LOVE 4.4% 22.86 8
7 4 MOTOR 3.7% 26.73 11
8 14 ALWAYS FLUKE 3.7% 27.25 6
9 1 ALSONSO 2.6% 37.93 2
10 7 RISING FROM EAST 1.9% 52.24 14
11 12 YOUNG LEGACY 1.8% 54.44 13
12 5 BEST FARM 1.3% 74.32 7
13 9 PRECISION HOPE 1.1% 91.66 5
14 13 SUPER MASTERMIND 0.9% 113.66 10
GOLD PATCHGLACIATEDVICTORY CHAMPIONDAILY ACCLAIMWARRIORS DREAM — wonFIND MY LOVEMOTORALWAYS FLUKEALSONSORISING FROM EASTYOUNG LEGACYBEST FARMPRECISION HOPESUPER MASTERMIND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 159.5

PLACE

1 76

3 12

11 31

QUINELLA

1,11 2,163

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 142.5

1,11 468.5

3,11 51.5

FORECAST

11,1 3,581

TIERCE

11,1,3 11,492

TRIO

1,3,11 1,265

FIRST 4

1,3,6,11 4,501

QUARTET

11,1,3,6 164,799

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

8/1 159.5

8/11 288