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Sha Tin · 2026-03-01 · 16:45

THE HONG KONG CLASSIC CUP

Race 9

4YO GOOD 1800m Course B+2 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:46.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H/TT 1:46.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor 12 22.0 —
2 4 INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly CP H Bowman · M Newnham 2 10.0 1
3 7 PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B/TT1 D B McMonagle · K L Man 13 25.0 1-1/2
4 2 NUMBERS Closed strongly XB K C Leung · F C Lor 11 3.8 1-1/2
5 11 DAZZLING FIT XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 52.0 3
6 13 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 8 60.0 3-1/4
7 6 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 9 8.6 3-1/2
8 1 LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K H Ting 3 2.5 3-1/2
9 5 INFINITE RESOLVE Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 14 19.0 3-1/2
10 10 WINDLORD CP/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo 1 94.0 4-3/4
11 8 AKASHVANI Led early B L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 76.0 5-1/4
12 9 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · K L Man 10 161.0 5-1/4
13 12 LUCKY SAM GOR XB C L Chau · M Newnham 5 26.0 8-3/4
14 3 SAGACIOUS LIFE TT Z Purton · P C Ng 4 9.7 15-1/2
— 0 FORTUNE BOY B · D A Hayes — — —
— 0 AERODYNAMICS TT · M Newnham — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 ("THE HONG KONG CLASSIC CUP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-01 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD going. STORMY GROVE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won, with INVINCIBLE IBIS second and PATCH OF COSMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite LITTLE PARADISE finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORMY GROVE—2. INVINCIBLE IBIS+1L3. PATCH OF COSMO+1.5L4. NUMBERS+1.5L5. DAZZLING FIT+3L6. POPE CODY+3.25L7. BEAUTY BOLT+3.5L8. LITTLE PARADISE+3.5L9. INFINITE RESOLVE+3.5L10. WINDLORD+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NUMBERS (25.2%) finished 4th — the winner STORMY GROVE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 NUMBERS 25.2% 3.97 4
2 1 LITTLE PARADISE 24.3% 4.12 8
3 3 SAGACIOUS LIFE 9.9% 10.11 14
4 4 INVINCIBLE IBIS 8.9% 11.25 2
5 6 BEAUTY BOLT 6.7% 14.99 7
6 7 PATCH OF COSMO 4.1% 24.64 3
7 12 LUCKY SAM GOR 3.9% 25.85 13
8 14 STORMY GROVE 3.5% 28.60 1
9 11 DAZZLING FIT 2.9% 34.15 5
10 5 INFINITE RESOLVE 2.8% 35.31 9
11 13 POPE CODY 2.8% 35.40 6
12 8 AKASHVANI 2.4% 41.49 11
13 9 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM 1.6% 62.48 12
14 10 WINDLORD 1.0% 96.55 10
NUMBERSLITTLE PARADISESAGACIOUS LIFEINVINCIBLE IBISBEAUTY BOLTPATCH OF COSMOLUCKY SAM GORSTORMY GROVE — wonDAZZLING FITINFINITE RESOLVEPOPE CODYAKASHVANICIRCUIT GRAND SLAMWINDLORD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 222.5

PLACE

4 27.5

7 60.5

14 51

QUINELLA

4,14 1,015

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 259

4,14 257

7,14 445

FORECAST

14,4 2,037

TIERCE

14,4,7 30,899

TRIO

4,7,14 5,090

FIRST 4

2,4,7,14 6,653

QUARTET

14,4,7,2 212,531

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,4/4,7,14 1,521,302

8TH DOUBLE

3/4 485

3/14 5,390.5