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Sha Tin · 2026-03-01 · 08:45

THE HONG KONG CLASSIC CUP

Race 9

4YO GOOD 1800m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 9 ("THE HONG KONG CLASSIC CUP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-01 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD going. STORMY GROVE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won, with INVINCIBLE IBIS second and PATCH OF COSMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite LITTLE PARADISE finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:46.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H/TT 1:46.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor 12 22.0
2 4 INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly CP H Bowman · M Newnham 2 10.0 1
3 7 PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B/TT1 D B McMonagle · K L Man 13 25.0 1-1/2
4 2 NUMBERS Closed strongly XB K C Leung · F C Lor 11 3.8 1-1/2
5 11 DAZZLING FIT XB L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 52.0 3
6 13 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 8 60.0 3-1/4
7 6 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 9 8.6 3-1/2
8 1 LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K H Ting 3 2.5 3-1/2
9 5 INFINITE RESOLVE Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 14 19.0 3-1/2
10 10 WINDLORD CP/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo 1 94.0 4-3/4
11 8 AKASHVANI Led early B L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 76.0 5-1/4
12 9 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · K L Man 10 161.0 5-1/4
13 12 LUCKY SAM GOR XB C L Chau · M Newnham 5 26.0 8-3/4
14 3 SAGACIOUS LIFE TT Z Purton · P C Ng 4 9.7 15-1/2
5 AERODYNAMICS TT · M Newnham
11 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly B · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORMY GROVE2. INVINCIBLE IBIS+1L3. PATCH OF COSMO+1.5L4. NUMBERS+1.5L5. DAZZLING FIT+3L6. POPE CODY+3.25L7. BEAUTY BOLT+3.5L8. LITTLE PARADISE+3.5L9. INFINITE RESOLVE+3.5L10. WINDLORD+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NUMBERS (25.2%) finished 4th — the winner STORMY GROVE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 NUMBERS 25.2% 3.97 4
2 1 LITTLE PARADISE 24.3% 4.12 8
3 3 SAGACIOUS LIFE 9.9% 10.11 14
4 4 INVINCIBLE IBIS 8.9% 11.25 2
5 6 BEAUTY BOLT 6.7% 14.99 7
6 7 PATCH OF COSMO 4.1% 24.64 3
7 12 LUCKY SAM GOR 3.9% 25.85 13
8 14 STORMY GROVE 3.5% 28.60 1
9 11 DAZZLING FIT 2.9% 34.15 5
10 5 INFINITE RESOLVE 2.8% 35.31 9
11 13 POPE CODY 2.8% 35.40 6
12 8 AKASHVANI 2.4% 41.49 11
13 9 CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM 1.6% 62.48 12
14 10 WINDLORD 1.0% 96.55 10
NUMBERSLITTLE PARADISESAGACIOUS LIFEINVINCIBLE IBISBEAUTY BOLTPATCH OF COSMOLUCKY SAM GORSTORMY GROVE — wonDAZZLING FITINFINITE RESOLVEPOPE CODYAKASHVANICIRCUIT GRAND SLAMWINDLORD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 222.5

PLACE

4 27.5

7 60.5

14 51

QUINELLA

4,14 1,015

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 259

4,14 257

7,14 445

FORECAST

14,4 2,037

TIERCE

14,4,7 30,899

TRIO

4,7,14 5,090

FIRST 4

2,4,7,14 6,653

QUARTET

14,4,7,2 212,531

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,4/4,7,14 1,521,302

8TH DOUBLE

3/4 485

3/14 5,390.5