Sha Tin · 2026-03-01 · 08:10
CITI INSURANCE SERVICES HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("CITI INSURANCE SERVICES HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PAKISTAN LEGACY, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with RISING FORCE second and GENEVA third. The 2.2 favourite AURIO finished 4th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PAKISTAN LEGACY V/TT 1:09.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 11 | 25.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | RISING FORCE R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | GENEVA H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 25.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | AURIO SR/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WUKONG JEWELLERY P-/TT H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 7 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | ANODE B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPERB KING XB/CP2 A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY TT M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | HOTT SHOTT H1/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 9 | 169.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | IRON SECURITY CP2/TT2 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 98.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RISING FORCE | 29.4% | 3.40 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | AURIO | 27.5% | 3.64 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 11.3% | 8.89 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | GENEVA | 6.7% | 14.92 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 5.9% | 16.82 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPERB KING | 5.6% | 17.75 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | ANODE | 4.3% | 23.38 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | PAKISTAN LEGACY | 3.6% | 28.14 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 3.5% | 28.84 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | IRON SECURITY | 1.4% | 70.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | HOTT SHOTT | 0.9% | 113.49 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 252
PLACE
2 50
3 47
4 12.5
QUINELLA
3,4 258
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 323.5
2,4 87.5
3,4 82
FORECAST
3,4 785
TIERCE
3,4,2 5,563
TRIO
2,3,4 715
FIRST 4
2,3,4,6 366
QUARTET
3,4,2,6 15,430
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 204
1/4 10.5