沙田 · 2026-03-08 · 05:00
SOMERSET HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-03-08沙田第2場「SOMERSET HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、A S Cruz訓練的HE WAS ME勝出。GENERAL SMART獲得亞軍；THE CONCENTRATION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門THE CONCENTRATION跑獲第3名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（4）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HE WAS ME 後段發力 B/TT 1:22.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 13 | 18.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | GENERAL SMART 後段發力 CP/XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 7.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 1 | THE CONCENTRATION 後段發力 B D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.5 | NOSE |
| 4 | 3 | BLING BLING GENIUS 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | PANDA LEGEND V/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | PODIUM 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 6 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 3 | 83.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | DRACO 後段發力 XB/B1 L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 8 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WINDICATOR FAMILY V/TT1 A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 2 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | SMART ENGINEER 後段發力 B/XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 14 | 100.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | EXCEED THE WISH H2 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | FIGHT TIME CP1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 9 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | THE WAY WE WIN 早段領放 CP-/B2/TT2 M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 12 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GALE SAGA B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING MACHINE TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | COSMO LIGHT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE CONCENTRATION | 23.2% | 4.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | GENERAL SMART | 12.3% | 8.13 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | DRACO | 12.1% | 8.29 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 8.8% | 11.38 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | PANDA LEGEND | 7.7% | 13.06 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | GALE SAGA | 6.6% | 15.26 | 14 |
| 7 | 8 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 6.1% | 16.32 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | FIGHT TIME | 5.8% | 17.27 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | HE WAS ME | 4.4% | 22.48 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | PODIUM | 4.3% | 23.29 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | EXCEED THE WISH | 3.0% | 32.90 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | THE WAY WE WIN | 2.1% | 48.03 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | CASA LEGEND | 2.0% | 49.03 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | SMART ENGINEER | 1.6% | 61.18 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 180.5
PLACE
1 17.5
6 27
11 43.5
QUINELLA
6,11 607
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 85
1,11 143.5
6,11 204
FORECAST
11,6 1,264
TIERCE
11,6,1 7,218
TRIO
1,6,11 1,058
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 1,880
QUARTET
11,6,1,3 50,250
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/6 87
8/11 849.5