沙田 · 2026-03-08 · 06:35
NORFOLK HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-03-08沙田第5場「NORFOLK HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Orman策騎、K W Lui訓練的THE GOLDEN KNIGHT勝出。MASTER TRILLION獲得亞軍；MEGA MASTERMIND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 後段發力 XB 1:34.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 4 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 3 | MASTER TRILLION 後段發力 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 9.5 | — |
| 3 | 9 | MEGA MASTERMIND V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 12 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | FLYING AMANI 後段發力 XB/CP1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | VICTOR SUPREME 後段發力 V D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY YEAR 後段發力 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE 後段發力 B A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | EXCELLENT BOY 後段發力 CP M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 14 | 111.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BEAUTY VIVA 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | DANICA'S CHOICE CP2 L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 2 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | SMILING FALCON CP R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | FRANTANCK 早段領放 TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | GOLDEN FORTUNE CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 84.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF CP- C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 13 | 195.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT | 23.9% | 4.18 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY VIVA | 12.9% | 7.75 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | MASTER TRILLION | 11.1% | 8.97 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | SMILING FALCON | 10.5% | 9.56 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | VICTOR SUPREME | 10.1% | 9.89 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY YEAR | 9.2% | 10.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE | 4.6% | 21.94 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | MEGA MASTERMIND | 3.5% | 28.25 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING AMANI | 3.4% | 29.06 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | DANICA'S CHOICE | 2.7% | 37.73 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | EXCELLENT BOY | 2.5% | 39.28 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | FRANTANCK | 2.5% | 40.58 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | GOLDEN FORTUNE | 1.6% | 64.25 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF | 1.5% | 65.56 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 29
PLACE
3 29
4 14.5
9 45.5
QUINELLA
3,4 174
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 62.5
3,9 265.5
4,9 88.5
FORECAST
4,3 295
TIERCE
4,3,9 4,661
TRIO
3,4,9 1,024
FIRST 4
3,4,9,13 4,972
QUARTET
4,3,9,13 59,524
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
11/6/3 145
11/6/4 233
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/3,4,9 62,559
4TH DOUBLE
6/3 46.5
6/4 80