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Sha Tin · 2026-03-08 · 14:35

NORFOLK HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course C 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 8.65 #14 GOLDEN FORTUNE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:34.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 THE GOLDEN KNIGHT Closed strongly XB 1:34.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K W Lui 4 2.9 —
2 3 MASTER TRILLION Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 1 9.5 —
3 9 MEGA MASTERMIND V/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 12 15.0 1/2
4 13 FLYING AMANI Closed strongly XB/CP1 K Teetan · D J Hall 3 33.0 1-1/4
5 6 VICTOR SUPREME Closed strongly V D B McMonagle · P F Yiu 8 5.6 1-3/4
6 7 LUCKY YEAR Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip 7 17.0 1-3/4
7 1 ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE Closed strongly B A Atzeni · M Newnham 11 17.0 1-3/4
8 10 EXCELLENT BOY Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · C W Chang 14 111.0 1-3/4
9 5 BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 6 5.7 1-3/4
10 2 DANICA'S CHOICE CP2 L Hewitson · B Crawford 2 27.0 2
11 11 SMILING FALCON CP R Kingscote · K H Ting 9 11.0 2-1/4
12 12 FRANTANCK Led early TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 10 18.0 2-1/2
13 14 GOLDEN FORTUNE CP A Badel · K L Man 5 84.0 3-3/4
14 8 JUSTIFY YOURSELF CP- C L Chau · W K Mo 13 195.0 13-1/2
— 0 APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT · D Eustace — — —
— 0 STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT · D A Hayes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 ("NORFOLK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-08 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. THE GOLDEN KNIGHT, ridden by J Orman and trained by K W Lui, won, with MASTER TRILLION second and MEGA MASTERMIND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE GOLDEN KNIGHT—3. MEGA MASTERMIND+0.5L4. FLYING AMANI+1.25L5. VICTOR SUPREME+1.75L6. LUCKY YEAR+1.75L7. ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE+1.75L8. EXCELLENT BOY+1.75L9. BEAUTY VIVA+1.75L10. DANICA'S CHOICE+2L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick THE GOLDEN KNIGHT (23.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 23.9% 4.18 1
2 5 BEAUTY VIVA 12.9% 7.75 9
3 3 MASTER TRILLION 11.1% 8.97 2
4 11 SMILING FALCON 10.5% 9.56 11
5 6 VICTOR SUPREME 10.1% 9.89 5
6 7 LUCKY YEAR 9.2% 10.89 6
7 1 ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE 4.6% 21.94 7
8 9 MEGA MASTERMIND 3.5% 28.25 3
9 13 FLYING AMANI 3.4% 29.06 4
10 2 DANICA'S CHOICE 2.7% 37.73 10
11 10 EXCELLENT BOY 2.5% 39.28 8
12 12 FRANTANCK 2.5% 40.58 12
13 14 GOLDEN FORTUNE 1.6% 64.25 13
14 8 JUSTIFY YOURSELF 1.5% 65.56 14
THE GOLDEN KNIGHT — wonBEAUTY VIVAMASTER TRILLIONSMILING FALCONVICTOR SUPREMELUCKY YEARARMOR GOLDEN EAGLEMEGA MASTERMINDFLYING AMANIDANICA'S CHOICEEXCELLENT BOYFRANTANCKGOLDEN FORTUNEJUSTIFY YOURSELF

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 29

PLACE

3 29

4 14.5

9 45.5

QUINELLA

3,4 174

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 62.5

3,9 265.5

4,9 88.5

FORECAST

4,3 295

TIERCE

4,3,9 4,661

TRIO

3,4,9 1,024

FIRST 4

3,4,9,13 4,972

QUARTET

4,3,9,13 59,524

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

11/6/3 145

11/6/4 233

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,9/3,4,9 62,559

4TH DOUBLE

6/3 46.5

6/4 80