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Sha Tin · 2026-03-08 · 04:30

SUFFOLK HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course C 13 runners

Race 1 ("SUFFOLK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-08 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN SUNRISE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won, with COMET RADIANCE second and HEROIC MASTER third. The 1.8 favourite MAPOGO finished 4th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 8.65 #5 FLOWING — Code 92

Result

Official · 0:56.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 RUN RUN SUNRISE E/TT 0:56.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 4 5.2
2 11 COMET RADIANCE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 24.0 1/2
3 13 HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui 11 18.0 1-1/4
4 7 MAPOGO M F Poon · K L Man 9 1.8 1-3/4
5 2 CASA PRIMO XB1 R Kingscote · C W Chang 3 23.0 2
6 1 LUCKY TWENTY XB-/B L Ferraris · K H Ting 10 61.0 2
7 12 LOVING VIBES B-/TT1 C L Chau · M Newnham 13 8.5 2-1/4
8 9 AWESOME TREASURE E C W Wong · J Richards 6 43.0 3-1/4
9 4 DRAGON HALL J Orman · D J Hall 14 25.0 3-3/4
10 6 GREEN FIELD PEARL TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 18.0 4-1/2
11 10 LUCKY SECRET TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 166.0 4-1/2
12 14 CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford 1 53.0 5-1/2
13 3 CLASSIC TRIPLE SR1/TT1 A Atzeni · W Y So 12 14.0 8-1/2
0 SPICY STANDARD · J Size
0 ABSOLUTE HEART TT1 · W K Mo
5 FLOWING E1/TT1 M Chadwick · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUN RUN SUNRISE2. COMET RADIANCE+0.5L3. HEROIC MASTER+1.25L4. MAPOGO+1.75L5. CASA PRIMO+2L6. LUCKY TWENTY+2L7. LOVING VIBES+2.25L8. AWESOME TREASURE+3.25L9. DRAGON HALL+3.75L10. GREEN FIELD PEARL+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MAPOGO (19.5%) finished 4th — the winner RUN RUN SUNRISE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 MAPOGO 19.5% 5.12 4
2 8 RUN RUN SUNRISE 14.5% 6.89 1
3 12 LOVING VIBES 13.9% 7.18 7
4 3 CLASSIC TRIPLE 12.8% 7.83 13
5 14 CONSPIRATOR 6.1% 16.49 12
6 9 AWESOME TREASURE 6.0% 16.71 8
7 4 DRAGON HALL 5.9% 16.88 9
8 6 GREEN FIELD PEARL 4.8% 21.01 10
9 13 HEROIC MASTER 4.2% 23.82 3
10 2 CASA PRIMO 4.0% 25.23 5
11 11 COMET RADIANCE 3.8% 26.28 2
12 1 LUCKY TWENTY 2.9% 34.82 6
13 10 LUCKY SECRET 1.7% 59.38 11
MAPOGORUN RUN SUNRISE — wonLOVING VIBESCLASSIC TRIPLECONSPIRATORAWESOME TREASUREDRAGON HALLGREEN FIELD PEARLHEROIC MASTERCASA PRIMOCOMET RADIANCELUCKY TWENTYLUCKY SECRET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 52.5

PLACE

8 16

11 45.5

13 56

QUINELLA

8,11 394.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,11 115.5

8,13 182.5

11,13 569

FORECAST

8,11 782

TIERCE

8,11,13 16,949

TRIO

8,11,13 3,633

FIRST 4

7,8,11,13 1,466

QUARTET

8,11,13,7 69,636