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Sha Tin · 2026-03-08 · 06:05

RUTLAND HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m 12 runners

Race 4 ("RUTLAND HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD CHAP, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D J Hall, won, with CONRAD THE GREAT second and FLOWING RICHES third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 8.65

Result

Official · 1:08.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GOOD CHAP B 1:08.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 2.6
2 9 CONRAD THE GREAT SR/XB/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte 12 16.0 1-1/4
3 2 FLOWING RICHES CP-/B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting 8 11.0 1-1/4
4 11 WORLD HERO B- H Bentley · D A Hayes 6 11.0 1-1/2
5 4 NATURAL HIGH B2 C L Chau · C H Yip 4 18.0 2-3/4
6 8 KING DANCE B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 7.1 3-1/4
7 10 SHINYU KOKOROE CP1 K Teetan · B Crawford 3 12.0 3-3/4
8 1 FUN N FUN TOGETHER B Z Purton · F C Lor 7 3.9 3-3/4
9 12 GLORY CLOUD TT A Badel · C Fownes 9 21.0 5-1/2
10 3 FORZA LEADER B-/P1/TT- B Avdulla · Y S Tsui 1 172.0 5-3/4
11 5 EXTRAORDINARY GALL B1 M F Poon · K L Man 11 119.0 5-3/4
12 7 FLYING CHRISTIE B-/PC1/XB1/H2/TT J Orman · P C Ng 2 194.0 6-3/4
0 NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Ferraris · M Newnham
0 JOKER ORBIT B/TT · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOOD CHAP2. CONRAD THE GREAT+1.25L3. FLOWING RICHES+1.25L4. WORLD HERO+1.5L5. NATURAL HIGH+2.75L6. KING DANCE+3.25L7. SHINYU KOKOROE+3.75L8. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+3.75L9. GLORY CLOUD+5.5L10. FORZA LEADER+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOOD CHAP (25.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GOOD CHAP 25.0% 3.99 1
2 1 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 18.8% 5.33 8
3 8 KING DANCE 14.7% 6.78 6
4 2 FLOWING RICHES 8.6% 11.62 3
5 4 NATURAL HIGH 7.7% 13.02 5
6 10 SHINYU KOKOROE 7.4% 13.52 7
7 11 WORLD HERO 6.1% 16.44 4
8 9 CONRAD THE GREAT 4.6% 21.80 2
9 12 GLORY CLOUD 4.0% 25.29 9
10 7 FLYING CHRISTIE 1.1% 93.59 12
11 3 FORZA LEADER 1.1% 94.94 10
12 5 EXTRAORDINARY GALL 1.0% 96.54 11
GOOD CHAP — wonFUN N FUN TOGETHERKING DANCEFLOWING RICHESNATURAL HIGHSHINYU KOKOROEWORLD HEROCONRAD THE GREATGLORY CLOUDFLYING CHRISTIEFORZA LEADEREXTRAORDINARY GALL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 26.5

PLACE

2 28.5

6 14

9 35

QUINELLA

6,9 241

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 56

2,9 184.5

6,9 82

FORECAST

6,9 386

TIERCE

6,9,2 3,085

TRIO

2,6,9 811

FIRST 4

2,6,9,11 1,766

QUARTET

6,9,2,11 26,116

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

11/6 84.5

11/9 137.5