Sha Tin · 2026-03-08 · 09:50
CUMBERLAND HANDICAP
Race 11
Race 11 ("CUMBERLAND HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-08 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WINNING OVATION, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won, with SUPER EXPRESS second and CALIFORNIA WAVES third. The winner led throughout. The 1.8 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINNING OVATION Wire to wire TT 1:21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.8 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | CALIFORNIA WAVES Closed strongly B/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 11 | 93.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNNY DA BEST Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | HAROLD WIN V/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 14 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | EVERYONE'S STAR H- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | RISING PHOENIX Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | AKERMANIS GOLD Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 1 | 59.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 8 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | KING LOTUS Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MATZDEN TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 13 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 185.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 9 | 23.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY CANDY TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | DRAGON ON SNOW H1 · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER EXPRESS | 34.0% | 2.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | MATZDEN | 12.4% | 8.05 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | WINNING OVATION | 10.6% | 9.45 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | HAROLD WIN | 8.2% | 12.14 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 5.5% | 18.05 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 4.9% | 20.22 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 4.7% | 21.30 | 14 |
| 8 | 12 | RISING PHOENIX | 4.1% | 24.35 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPERB KID | 3.1% | 32.55 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 2.7% | 36.63 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNNY DA BEST | 2.5% | 39.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | PERFECT TEAM | 2.5% | 40.64 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | KING LOTUS | 2.4% | 41.53 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | AKERMANIS GOLD | 2.2% | 45.19 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 68
PLACE
3 11.5
4 23.5
10 181
QUINELLA
3,4 60.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 30
3,10 224
4,10 700.5
FORECAST
4,3 158
TIERCE
4,3,10 6,872
TRIO
3,4,10 1,566
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 4,761
QUARTET
4,3,10,8 87,124
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
1/3 10.5
1/4 133.5
2ND TREBLE
9/1/3 104
9/1/4 2,146
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/3,4,10 39,517
SIX UP
1,2/6,9/2,6/7,9/1,11/3,4 1,351
2/6/2/9/1/4 100,407
4 [A S Cruz] —
2 [A Atzeni] —