沙田 · 2026-03-29 · 05:15
NEW ASIA ALUMNI HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-03-29沙田第2場「NEW ASIA ALUMNI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Atzeni策騎、D J Hall訓練的SHOTGUN勝出。INVICTUS DRAGON獲得亞軍；THE ALL ROUNDER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SHOTGUN 一路領先 B/XB 1:21.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 10 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 9 | INVICTUS DRAGON 後段發力 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | THE ALL ROUNDER 後段發力 PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 14 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | THE LION KING 後段發力 J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 9 | 5.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | HONORARY H1/CP2/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 2 | 67.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SO MY FOLKS CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 1 | 8.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | APOLAR FIGHTER 後段發力 B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 3 | 119.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 60.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LET'S HAVE FUN CP-/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 115.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | DANICA'S CHOICE CP K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | RUSSET GLOW TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 18.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | ALWAYS AHEAD H/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 157.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | VIEW OF COSMOS B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 13 | 178.0 | 55-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GRACEFUL HEART XB1 · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | BEAUTY GEMINI TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 25.7% | 3.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | SHOTGUN | 25.5% | 3.92 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SO MY FOLKS | 8.5% | 11.83 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | RUSSET GLOW | 7.0% | 14.28 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | THE LION KING | 6.9% | 14.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | STRATHPEFFER | 5.9% | 17.09 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | DANICA'S CHOICE | 5.8% | 17.26 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 4.4% | 22.67 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 2.6% | 38.96 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 2.1% | 46.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | HONORARY | 2.0% | 50.46 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | ALWAYS AHEAD | 1.3% | 78.94 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S | 1.2% | 83.34 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | VIEW OF COSMOS | 1.2% | 84.68 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 27.5
PLACE
9 16
13 12.5
14 43.5
QUINELLA
9,13 58
QUINELLA PLACE
9,13 27
9,14 134
13,14 112.5
FORECAST
13,9 117
TIERCE
13,9,14 908
TRIO
9,13,14 220
FIRST 4
7,9,13,14 425
QUARTET
13,9,14,7 6,531
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/9 15.5
1/13 88