Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 05:15
NEW ASIA ALUMNI HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("NEW ASIA ALUMNI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SHOTGUN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D J Hall, won, with INVICTUS DRAGON second and THE ALL ROUNDER third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SHOTGUN Wire to wire B/XB 1:21.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 10 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 9 | INVICTUS DRAGON Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | THE ALL ROUNDER Closed strongly PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 14 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | THE LION KING Closed strongly J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 9 | 5.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | HONORARY H1/CP2/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 2 | 67.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SO MY FOLKS CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 1 | 8.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 3 | 119.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 60.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LET'S HAVE FUN CP-/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 115.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | DANICA'S CHOICE CP K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | RUSSET GLOW TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 18.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | ALWAYS AHEAD H/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 157.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | VIEW OF COSMOS B/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 13 | 178.0 | 55-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GRACEFUL HEART XB1 · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | BEAUTY GEMINI TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 25.7% | 3.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | SHOTGUN | 25.5% | 3.92 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SO MY FOLKS | 8.5% | 11.83 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | RUSSET GLOW | 7.0% | 14.28 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | THE LION KING | 6.9% | 14.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | STRATHPEFFER | 5.9% | 17.09 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | DANICA'S CHOICE | 5.8% | 17.26 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 4.4% | 22.67 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 2.6% | 38.96 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 2.1% | 46.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | HONORARY | 2.0% | 50.46 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | ALWAYS AHEAD | 1.3% | 78.94 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S | 1.2% | 83.34 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | VIEW OF COSMOS | 1.2% | 84.68 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 27.5
PLACE
9 16
13 12.5
14 43.5
QUINELLA
9,13 58
QUINELLA PLACE
9,13 27
9,14 134
13,14 112.5
FORECAST
13,9 117
TIERCE
13,9,14 908
TRIO
9,13,14 220
FIRST 4
7,9,13,14 425
QUARTET
13,9,14,7 6,531
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/9 15.5
1/13 88