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Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 07:05

FACULTY OF EDUCATION ALUMNI HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 5 ("FACULTY OF EDUCATION ALUMNI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. EVER LUCK, ridden by J Orman and trained by M Newnham, won, with RUN RUN SUNRISE second and GEORGIAN SIGMA third. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 0:56.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 EVER LUCK CP-/B1 0:56.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · M Newnham 13 4.4
2 4 RUN RUN SUNRISE E/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 5 5.4 1/2
3 6 GEORGIAN SIGMA PC1 M F Poon · P C Ng 9 6.9 1-1/4
4 10 PERFECT TRIUMPH TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 14 95.0 3-1/2
5 8 CASA PRIMO XB R Kingscote · C W Chang 11 23.0 3-3/4
6 13 COMET RADIANCE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 13.0 4
7 12 TURBO JEFFERIES Z Purton · D A Hayes 4 13.0 4-1/2
8 7 AMO ERGO SUM K Teetan · B Crawford 2 104.0 4-1/2
9 3 PACKING PHOENIX TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 12 4.7 4-3/4
10 11 SYNERGY EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size 3 10.0 5-3/4
11 9 E HOPEFUL TT1 A Atzeni · W Y So 6 93.0 6-1/4
12 2 NORTHERN FIRE BALL CP1/TT P N Wong · C H Yip 8 16.0 6-3/4
13 14 QUICK MONEY XB/B1/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 1 26.0 7
14 5 LUCKY TWENTY B L Ferraris · K H Ting 10 37.0 12-1/4
0 BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT · W K Mo
0 RIDING HIGH CP · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVER LUCK2. RUN RUN SUNRISE+0.5L3. GEORGIAN SIGMA+1.25L4. PERFECT TRIUMPH+3.5L5. CASA PRIMO+3.75L6. COMET RADIANCE+4L7. TURBO JEFFERIES+4.5L8. AMO ERGO SUM+4.5L9. PACKING PHOENIX+4.75L10. SYNERGY EXPRESS+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SYNERGY EXPRESS (17.0%) finished 10th — the winner EVER LUCK was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 SYNERGY EXPRESS 17.0% 5.89 10
2 12 TURBO JEFFERIES 15.2% 6.58 7
3 1 EVER LUCK 14.9% 6.71 1
4 4 RUN RUN SUNRISE 13.1% 7.66 2
5 6 GEORGIAN SIGMA 10.1% 9.91 3
6 3 PACKING PHOENIX 5.2% 19.32 9
7 2 NORTHERN FIRE BALL 5.1% 19.75 12
8 13 COMET RADIANCE 4.7% 21.11 6
9 9 E HOPEFUL 3.9% 25.35 11
10 14 QUICK MONEY 3.3% 30.68 13
11 8 CASA PRIMO 3.0% 33.85 5
12 10 PERFECT TRIUMPH 2.0% 49.21 4
13 5 LUCKY TWENTY 1.6% 62.29 14
14 7 AMO ERGO SUM 1.0% 98.01 8
SYNERGY EXPRESSTURBO JEFFERIESEVER LUCK — wonRUN RUN SUNRISEGEORGIAN SIGMAPACKING PHOENIXNORTHERN FIRE BALLCOMET RADIANCEE HOPEFULQUICK MONEYCASA PRIMOPERFECT TRIUMPHLUCKY TWENTYAMO ERGO SUM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 44

PLACE

1 18

4 18.5

6 22.5

QUINELLA

1,4 112.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 42.5

1,6 61.5

4,6 80.5

FORECAST

1,4 196

TIERCE

1,4,6 937

TRIO

1,4,6 201

FIRST 4

1,4,6,10 3,834

QUARTET

1,4,6,10 40,267

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/9/1 582

7/9/4 120

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/1,4,6 4,790

4TH DOUBLE

9/1 136.5

9/4 29