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Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 07:35

THE CUHK ALUMNI CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 6 ("THE CUHK ALUMNI CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING DANCE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with FRANCIS MEYNELL second and CIRCUIT FIERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PERIDOT finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 KING DANCE Closed strongly B/XB 1:21.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 34.0
2 7 FRANCIS MEYNELL Closed strongly TT R Kingscote · D Eustace 5 11.0 N
3 3 CIRCUIT FIERY PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So 10 4.8 1-3/4
4 4 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly C L Chau · W K Mo 6 6.4 2-3/4
5 14 PERIDOT A Atzeni · D J Hall 4 2.9 3
6 12 WINNING NOW Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor 11 9.6 3-1/4
7 11 VIVA FIRECRACKER Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 8 10.0 4-1/4
8 2 FAMILY KNIGHT Closed strongly E/SR1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 9 144.0 6-1/2
9 1 ONE MORE SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 14 10.0 8
10 5 STATE SECURITY CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes 1 20.0 8-3/4
11 13 YOUNG LEGACY Closed strongly B M F Poon · J Size 3 68.0 9-1/4
12 6 BEST FARM K C Leung · K L Man 12 94.0 10-1/2
13 9 VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B-/CP1 P N Wong · C H Yip 7 128.0 11-1/2
14 10 FLYING CHRISTIE H/PC/XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 2 250.0 12-3/4
0 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo
0 CALL ME SUCCESS XB · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING DANCE2. FRANCIS MEYNELL+0.05L3. CIRCUIT FIERY+1.75L4. NYX GLUCK+2.75L5. PERIDOT+3L6. WINNING NOW+3.25L7. VIVA FIRECRACKER+4.25L8. FAMILY KNIGHT+6.5L9. ONE MORE+8L10. STATE SECURITY+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (33.9%) finished 3rd — the winner KING DANCE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CIRCUIT FIERY 33.9% 2.95 3
2 14 PERIDOT 16.6% 6.03 5
3 1 ONE MORE 9.4% 10.62 9
4 4 NYX GLUCK 9.3% 10.80 4
5 5 STATE SECURITY 8.2% 12.26 10
6 11 VIVA FIRECRACKER 6.1% 16.49 7
7 8 KING DANCE 4.6% 21.54 1
8 7 FRANCIS MEYNELL 3.3% 30.24 2
9 6 BEST FARM 2.1% 47.71 12
10 12 WINNING NOW 1.9% 52.91 6
11 13 YOUNG LEGACY 1.4% 69.40 11
12 9 VIRTUOUS PHANTOM 1.3% 77.74 13
13 2 FAMILY KNIGHT 1.1% 89.41 8
14 10 FLYING CHRISTIE 0.8% 119.27 14
CIRCUIT FIERYPERIDOTONE MORENYX GLUCKSTATE SECURITYVIVA FIRECRACKERKING DANCE — wonFRANCIS MEYNELLBEST FARMWINNING NOWYOUNG LEGACYVIRTUOUS PHANTOMFAMILY KNIGHTFLYING CHRISTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 346

PLACE

3 17.5

7 29.5

8 82.5

QUINELLA

7,8 2,088

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 94.5

3,8 198.5

7,8 524.5

FORECAST

8,7 4,273

TIERCE

8,7,3 13,494

TRIO

3,7,8 2,081

FIRST 4

3,4,7,8 1,705

QUARTET

8,7,3,4 59,754

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/7 100.5

1/8 1,156