Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 15:35

THE CUHK ALUMNI CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A+3 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 KING DANCE Closed strongly B/XB 1:21.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 34.0 —
2 7 FRANCIS MEYNELL Closed strongly TT R Kingscote · D Eustace 5 11.0 N
3 3 CIRCUIT FIERY PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So 10 4.8 1-3/4
4 4 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly C L Chau · W K Mo 6 6.4 2-3/4
5 14 PERIDOT A Atzeni · D J Hall 4 2.9 3
6 12 WINNING NOW Led early B K Teetan · F C Lor 11 9.6 3-1/4
7 11 VIVA FIRECRACKER Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 8 10.0 4-1/4
8 2 FAMILY KNIGHT Closed strongly E/SR1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 9 144.0 6-1/2
9 1 ONE MORE SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 14 10.0 8
10 5 STATE SECURITY CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes 1 20.0 8-3/4
11 13 YOUNG LEGACY Closed strongly B M F Poon · J Size 3 68.0 9-1/4
12 6 BEST FARM K C Leung · K L Man 12 94.0 10-1/2
13 9 VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B-/CP1 P N Wong · C H Yip 7 128.0 11-1/2
14 10 FLYING CHRISTIE H/PC/XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 2 250.0 12-3/4
— 0 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo — — —
— 0 CALL ME SUCCESS XB · D Eustace — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 ("THE CUHK ALUMNI CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING DANCE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with FRANCIS MEYNELL second and CIRCUIT FIERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PERIDOT finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING DANCE—2. FRANCIS MEYNELL+0.05L3. CIRCUIT FIERY+1.75L4. NYX GLUCK+2.75L5. PERIDOT+3L6. WINNING NOW+3.25L7. VIVA FIRECRACKER+4.25L8. FAMILY KNIGHT+6.5L9. ONE MORE+8L10. STATE SECURITY+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT FIERY (33.9%) finished 3rd — the winner KING DANCE was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CIRCUIT FIERY 33.9% 2.95 3
2 14 PERIDOT 16.6% 6.03 5
3 1 ONE MORE 9.4% 10.62 9
4 4 NYX GLUCK 9.3% 10.80 4
5 5 STATE SECURITY 8.2% 12.26 10
6 11 VIVA FIRECRACKER 6.1% 16.49 7
7 8 KING DANCE 4.6% 21.54 1
8 7 FRANCIS MEYNELL 3.3% 30.24 2
9 6 BEST FARM 2.1% 47.71 12
10 12 WINNING NOW 1.9% 52.91 6
11 13 YOUNG LEGACY 1.4% 69.40 11
12 9 VIRTUOUS PHANTOM 1.3% 77.74 13
13 2 FAMILY KNIGHT 1.1% 89.41 8
14 10 FLYING CHRISTIE 0.8% 119.27 14
CIRCUIT FIERYPERIDOTONE MORENYX GLUCKSTATE SECURITYVIVA FIRECRACKERKING DANCE — wonFRANCIS MEYNELLBEST FARMWINNING NOWYOUNG LEGACYVIRTUOUS PHANTOMFAMILY KNIGHTFLYING CHRISTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 346

PLACE

3 17.5

7 29.5

8 82.5

QUINELLA

7,8 2,088

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 94.5

3,8 198.5

7,8 524.5

FORECAST

8,7 4,273

TIERCE

8,7,3 13,494

TRIO

3,7,8 2,081

FIRST 4

3,4,7,8 1,705

QUARTET

8,7,3,4 59,754

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/7 100.5

1/8 1,156