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Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 05:45

UNITED ALUMNI HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A+3 12 runners

Race 3 ("UNITED ALUMNI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHARITY TOGETHER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with VOLCANIC SPARK second and STAR BROSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #12 DILBAGH — Weight Change

Result

Official · 2:00.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 CHARITY TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT 2:00.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace 7 3.3
2 8 VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu 3 5.0 HD
3 10 STAR BROSE Closed strongly CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 2 6.3 N
4 1 AGENDA Closed strongly BO Z Purton · D J Hall 5 6.5 1-3/4
5 5 DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly V/XB/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 9 22.0 1-3/4
6 4 SERANGOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 12 34.0 2-3/4
7 12 DILBAGH Closed strongly B/XB/TT- A Badel · D J Whyte 8 116.0 6-3/4
8 9 SPLENDID FORCE Closed strongly B-/SR1/TT- M Chadwick · C H Yip 11 70.0 9-1/2
9 2 SUPREME MASTERMIND H- L Ferraris · D A Hayes 10 11.0 11-1/4
10 3 GREY CHARGER XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 6 117.0 11-3/4
11 11 FORTUNE KINGO Led early CP H T Mo · K H Ting 1 53.0 12-1/4
12 6 STORM RUNNER PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 5.1 12-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHARITY TOGETHER2. VOLCANIC SPARK+0.2L3. STAR BROSE+0.05L4. AGENDA+1.75L5. DOUBLE WIN+1.75L6. SERANGOON+2.75L7. DILBAGH+6.75L8. SPLENDID FORCE+9.5L9. SUPREME MASTERMIND+11.25L10. GREY CHARGER+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STORM RUNNER (22.9%) finished 12th — the winner CHARITY TOGETHER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 STORM RUNNER 22.9% 4.36 12
2 7 CHARITY TOGETHER 17.8% 5.61 1
3 1 AGENDA 13.9% 7.17 4
4 10 STAR BROSE 10.5% 9.49 3
5 8 VOLCANIC SPARK 9.4% 10.68 2
6 2 SUPREME MASTERMIND 9.1% 10.95 9
7 4 SERANGOON 4.8% 21.02 6
8 5 DOUBLE WIN 4.0% 25.28 5
9 12 DILBAGH 2.6% 38.90 7
10 11 FORTUNE KINGO 2.3% 44.10 11
11 3 GREY CHARGER 1.5% 65.25 10
12 9 SPLENDID FORCE 1.2% 86.34 8
STORM RUNNERCHARITY TOGETHER — wonAGENDASTAR BROSEVOLCANIC SPARKSUPREME MASTERMINDSERANGOONDOUBLE WINDILBAGHFORTUNE KINGOGREY CHARGERSPLENDID FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 33.5

PLACE

7 13

8 20

10 21.5

QUINELLA

7,8 77

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 31.5

7,10 40

8,10 49

FORECAST

7,8 171

TIERCE

7,8,10 953

TRIO

7,8,10 191

FIRST 4

1,7,8,10 276

QUARTET

7,8,10,1 5,175

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

9,13,14/7,8,10 9,395

2ND DOUBLE

13/7 140

13/8 35