Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 06:15
SHAW ALUMNI HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("SHAW ALUMNI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MAX QUE, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won, with JOY OF SPRING second and SKY HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAX QUE Closed strongly TT 1:34.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 2.4 | — |
| 2 | 7 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SKY HEART Led early B2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | AWESOME FLUKE P/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | POCKETING Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SWORD POINT CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 83.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAX QUE | 27.3% | 3.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SKY HEART | 23.6% | 4.23 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | POCKETING | 14.6% | 6.83 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | AWESOME FLUKE | 11.7% | 8.56 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | PACKING ANGEL | 7.2% | 13.93 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 5.7% | 17.42 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | JOY OF SPRING | 4.5% | 22.46 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 3.5% | 28.17 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | SWORD POINT | 1.8% | 55.31 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 24
PLACE
7 37.5
8 15.5
9 12
QUINELLA
7,9 151.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 86
7,9 47.5
8,9 21.5
FORECAST
9,7 256
TIERCE
9,7,8 977
TRIO
7,8,9 217
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 307
QUARTET
9,7,8,3 6,271
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/7 204.5
7/9 130.5