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Sha Tin · 2026-03-29 · 14:15

SHAW ALUMNI HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A+3 9 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:34.00
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT 1:34.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham 3 2.4 —
2 7 JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 17.0 1/2
3 8 SKY HEART Led early B2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 5 4.5 3/4
4 3 AWESOME FLUKE P/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 1 12.0 2-1/2
5 4 PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui 2 12.0 2-3/4
6 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 9 11.0 3
7 6 POCKETING Z Purton · D A Hayes 6 4.3 4-1/4
8 1 CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 8 35.0 6-3/4
9 5 SWORD POINT CP M F Poon · F C Lor 7 83.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("SHAW ALUMNI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-29 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MAX QUE, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won, with JOY OF SPRING second and SKY HEART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAX QUE—2. JOY OF SPRING+0.5L3. SKY HEART+0.75L4. AWESOME FLUKE+2.5L5. PACKING ANGEL+2.75L6. BEAUTY ETERNAL+3L7. POCKETING+4.25L8. CALIFORNIATOTALITY+6.75L9. SWORD POINT+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MAX QUE (27.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 MAX QUE 27.3% 3.66 1
2 8 SKY HEART 23.6% 4.23 3
3 6 POCKETING 14.6% 6.83 7
4 3 AWESOME FLUKE 11.7% 8.56 4
5 4 PACKING ANGEL 7.2% 13.93 5
6 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL 5.7% 17.42 6
7 7 JOY OF SPRING 4.5% 22.46 2
8 1 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 3.5% 28.17 8
9 5 SWORD POINT 1.8% 55.31 9
MAX QUE — wonSKY HEARTPOCKETINGAWESOME FLUKEPACKING ANGELBEAUTY ETERNALJOY OF SPRINGCALIFORNIATOTALITYSWORD POINT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 24

PLACE

7 37.5

8 15.5

9 12

QUINELLA

7,9 151.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 86

7,9 47.5

8,9 21.5

FORECAST

9,7 256

TIERCE

9,7,8 977

TRIO

7,8,9 217

FIRST 4

3,7,8,9 307

QUARTET

9,7,8,3 6,271

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/7 204.5

7/9 130.5