沙田 · 2026-03-29 · 07:35
THE CUHK ALUMNI CUP (HANDICAP)
第 6場
2026-03-29沙田第6場「THE CUHK ALUMNI CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的KING DANCE勝出。FRANCIS MEYNELL獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT FIERY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門PERIDOT跑獲第5名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KING DANCE 後段發力 B/XB 1:21.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 34.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | FRANCIS MEYNELL 後段發力 TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 5 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | CIRCUIT FIERY PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NYX GLUCK 後段發力 C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 6 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | PERIDOT A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 4 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | WINNING NOW 早段領放 B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | VIVA FIRECRACKER 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FAMILY KNIGHT 後段發力 E/SR1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 144.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | ONE MORE SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | STATE SECURITY CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | YOUNG LEGACY 後段發力 B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 3 | 68.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BEST FARM K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 94.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B-/CP1 P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 128.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | FLYING CHRISTIE H/PC/XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 250.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FLYING KNIGHT B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CALL ME SUCCESS XB · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 33.9% | 2.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 14 | PERIDOT | 16.6% | 6.03 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | ONE MORE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | NYX GLUCK | 9.3% | 10.80 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | STATE SECURITY | 8.2% | 12.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 6.1% | 16.49 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | KING DANCE | 4.6% | 21.54 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | FRANCIS MEYNELL | 3.3% | 30.24 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | BEST FARM | 2.1% | 47.71 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | WINNING NOW | 1.9% | 52.91 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | YOUNG LEGACY | 1.4% | 69.40 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM | 1.3% | 77.74 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | FAMILY KNIGHT | 1.1% | 89.41 | 8 |
| 14 | 10 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 0.8% | 119.27 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 346
PLACE
3 17.5
7 29.5
8 82.5
QUINELLA
7,8 2,088
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 94.5
3,8 198.5
7,8 524.5
FORECAST
8,7 4,273
TIERCE
8,7,3 13,494
TRIO
3,7,8 2,081
FIRST 4
3,4,7,8 1,705
QUARTET
8,7,3,4 59,754
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
1/7 100.5
1/8 1,156