沙田 · 2026-04-06 · 06:35
PEEL HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-04-06沙田第5場「PEEL HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的THOUSAND SPIRIT勝出。RIDING HIGH獲得亞軍；LUCRATIVE EIGHT獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門SUPERB SPIRIT跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THOUSAND SPIRIT 1:09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 15.0 | — |
| 2 | 14 | RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCRATIVE EIGHT TT1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 3 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPERB SPIRIT XB1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | LITTLE MONSTER H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 38.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MR INCREDIBLE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY SR/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | MONEY TYCOON CP- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SUNNY Q CP1/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 59.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | CALL ME SUCCESS XB A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 7 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | HEALTHY PONY CP/H M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 6 | 249.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 13 | 41.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | EVERSTAR CP-/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 211.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | DRAGON HALL B1 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 11 | 63.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | GOOD FORTUNE B/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPREME VOYAGER TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MR INCREDIBLE | 27.2% | 3.68 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | SUPERB SPIRIT | 21.6% | 4.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCRATIVE EIGHT | 9.2% | 10.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | RIDING HIGH | 7.9% | 12.66 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | CALL ME SUCCESS | 7.6% | 13.14 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 6.5% | 15.45 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.87 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | SUNNY Q | 3.1% | 32.59 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | LITTLE MONSTER | 2.9% | 34.27 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 2.4% | 41.35 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON HALL | 2.1% | 47.21 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | MONEY TYCOON | 1.3% | 77.86 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | EVERSTAR | 1.1% | 87.48 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | HEALTHY PONY | 0.7% | 144.36 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 150
PLACE
3 38
6 38
14 26.5
QUINELLA
3,14 643
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 263
3,14 155.5
6,14 173
FORECAST
3,14 1,464
TIERCE
3,14,6 12,431
TRIO
3,6,14 1,834
FIRST 4
3,6,7,14 1,038
QUARTET
3,14,6,7 41,441
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/14/3 20,625
7/14/14 3,328
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,14/3,6,14 1,099,880
4TH DOUBLE
14/3 1,420.5
14/14 251.5