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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 06:35

PEEL HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 5 ("PEEL HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THOUSAND SPIRIT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won, with RIDING HIGH second and LUCRATIVE EIGHT third. The 2.4 favourite SUPERB SPIRIT finished 4th.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #13 MONEY TYCOON — Weight Change #3 THOUSAND SPIRIT — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:09.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 THOUSAND SPIRIT 1:09.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 15.0
2 14 RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte 2 10.0 1/2
3 6 LUCRATIVE EIGHT TT1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 3 15.0 3/4
4 7 SUPERB SPIRIT XB1 Z Purton · K W Lui 10 2.4 2
5 10 LITTLE MONSTER H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 14 38.0 2-1/4
6 1 MR INCREDIBLE K Teetan · B Crawford 4 3.0 2-1/2
7 12 COME FAST FAY FAY SR/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 5 13.0 2-1/2
8 13 MONEY TYCOON CP- C Y Ho · F C Lor 1 101.0 3
9 11 SUNNY Q CP1/TT H Bentley · W Y So 12 59.0 3
10 8 CALL ME SUCCESS XB A Atzeni · D Eustace 7 16.0 5-1/4
11 5 HEALTHY PONY CP/H M Chadwick · C W Chang 6 249.0 5-3/4
12 4 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 13 41.0 6-3/4
13 2 EVERSTAR CP-/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 9 211.0 7-1/4
14 9 DRAGON HALL B1 J Orman · D J Hall 11 63.0 11
0 GOOD FORTUNE B/TT · P C Ng
0 SUPREME VOYAGER TT · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THOUSAND SPIRIT2. RIDING HIGH+0.5L3. LUCRATIVE EIGHT+0.75L4. SUPERB SPIRIT+2L5. LITTLE MONSTER+2.25L6. MR INCREDIBLE+2.5L7. COME FAST FAY FAY+2.5L8. MONEY TYCOON+3L9. SUNNY Q+3L10. CALL ME SUCCESS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MR INCREDIBLE (27.2%) finished 6th — the winner THOUSAND SPIRIT was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MR INCREDIBLE 27.2% 3.68 6
2 7 SUPERB SPIRIT 21.6% 4.62 4
3 6 LUCRATIVE EIGHT 9.2% 10.84 3
4 14 RIDING HIGH 7.9% 12.66 2
5 8 CALL ME SUCCESS 7.6% 13.14 10
6 12 COME FAST FAY FAY 6.5% 15.45 7
7 3 THOUSAND SPIRIT 6.3% 15.87 1
8 11 SUNNY Q 3.1% 32.59 9
9 10 LITTLE MONSTER 2.9% 34.27 5
10 4 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 2.4% 41.35 12
11 9 DRAGON HALL 2.1% 47.21 14
12 13 MONEY TYCOON 1.3% 77.86 8
13 2 EVERSTAR 1.1% 87.48 13
14 5 HEALTHY PONY 0.7% 144.36 11
MR INCREDIBLESUPERB SPIRITLUCRATIVE EIGHTRIDING HIGHCALL ME SUCCESSCOME FAST FAY FAYTHOUSAND SPIRIT — wonSUNNY QLITTLE MONSTERGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYDRAGON HALLMONEY TYCOONEVERSTARHEALTHY PONY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 150

PLACE

3 38

6 38

14 26.5

QUINELLA

3,14 643

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 263

3,14 155.5

6,14 173

FORECAST

3,14 1,464

TIERCE

3,14,6 12,431

TRIO

3,6,14 1,834

FIRST 4

3,6,7,14 1,038

QUARTET

3,14,6,7 41,441

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/14/3 20,625

7/14/14 3,328

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,9,14/3,6,14 1,099,880

4TH DOUBLE

14/3 1,420.5

14/14 251.5