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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 17:20

BARKER HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 10 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #1 HEALTHY HAPPY — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:21.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MUGEN Closed strongly 1:21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · B Crawford 9 44.0 —
2 4 WINNING OVATION Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 8 2.5 SH
3 8 SIX PACK B K Teetan · D J Whyte 1 2.6 SH
4 1 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 3 40.0 3/4
5 5 DROMBEG BANNER CP- H Y Yuen · P C Ng 4 13.0 2
6 10 AKASHVANI B Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 4.2 2-1/2
7 9 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 38.0 3-1/2
8 7 LO RIDER B Avdulla · C Fownes 6 56.0 3-1/2
9 2 NEW FOREST TT R Kingscote · M Newnham 7 94.0 6-1/4
10 3 JOHANNES BRAHMS PC1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 2 43.0 16

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 ("BARKER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MUGEN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by B Crawford, won, with WINNING OVATION second and SIX PACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite WINNING OVATION finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MUGEN—2. WINNING OVATION+0.1L3. SIX PACK+0.1L4. HEALTHY HAPPY+0.75L5. DROMBEG BANNER+2L6. AKASHVANI+2.5L7. STEPS AHEAD+3.5L8. LO RIDER+3.5L9. NEW FOREST+6.25L10. JOHANNES BRAHMS+16L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SIX PACK (30.0%) finished 3rd — the winner MUGEN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 SIX PACK 30.0% 3.33 3
2 4 WINNING OVATION 29.8% 3.35 2
3 10 AKASHVANI 15.1% 6.64 6
4 5 DROMBEG BANNER 6.6% 15.22 5
5 6 MUGEN 3.8% 26.10 1
6 9 STEPS AHEAD 3.4% 29.62 7
7 1 HEALTHY HAPPY 3.1% 31.89 4
8 3 JOHANNES BRAHMS 3.1% 32.34 10
9 7 LO RIDER 2.8% 35.45 8
10 2 NEW FOREST 2.2% 44.46 9
SIX PACKWINNING OVATIONAKASHVANIDROMBEG BANNERMUGEN — wonSTEPS AHEADHEALTHY HAPPYJOHANNES BRAHMSLO RIDERNEW FOREST

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 440.5

PLACE

4 12

6 79.5

8 12

QUINELLA

4,6 666

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 160

4,8 15.5

6,8 175

FORECAST

6,4 1,655

TIERCE

6,4,8 3,973

TRIO

4,6,8 242

FIRST 4

1,4,6,8 662

QUARTET

6,4,8,1 32,656

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

3/4 19

3/6 2,405