Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 09:20

BARKER HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 10 runners

Race 10 ("BARKER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MUGEN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by B Crawford, won, with WINNING OVATION second and SIX PACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite WINNING OVATION finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #1 HEALTHY HAPPY — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:21.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MUGEN Closed strongly 1:21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · B Crawford 9 44.0
2 4 WINNING OVATION Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 8 2.5 SH
3 8 SIX PACK B K Teetan · D J Whyte 1 2.6 SH
4 1 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 3 40.0 3/4
5 5 DROMBEG BANNER CP- H Y Yuen · P C Ng 4 13.0 2
6 10 AKASHVANI B Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 4.2 2-1/2
7 9 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 38.0 3-1/2
8 7 LO RIDER B Avdulla · C Fownes 6 56.0 3-1/2
9 2 NEW FOREST TT R Kingscote · M Newnham 7 94.0 6-1/4
10 3 JOHANNES BRAHMS PC1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 2 43.0 16

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MUGEN2. WINNING OVATION+0.1L3. SIX PACK+0.1L4. HEALTHY HAPPY+0.75L5. DROMBEG BANNER+2L6. AKASHVANI+2.5L7. STEPS AHEAD+3.5L8. LO RIDER+3.5L9. NEW FOREST+6.25L10. JOHANNES BRAHMS+16L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SIX PACK (30.0%) finished 3rd — the winner MUGEN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 SIX PACK 30.0% 3.33 3
2 4 WINNING OVATION 29.8% 3.35 2
3 10 AKASHVANI 15.1% 6.64 6
4 5 DROMBEG BANNER 6.6% 15.22 5
5 6 MUGEN 3.8% 26.10 1
6 9 STEPS AHEAD 3.4% 29.62 7
7 1 HEALTHY HAPPY 3.1% 31.89 4
8 3 JOHANNES BRAHMS 3.1% 32.34 10
9 7 LO RIDER 2.8% 35.45 8
10 2 NEW FOREST 2.2% 44.46 9
SIX PACKWINNING OVATIONAKASHVANIDROMBEG BANNERMUGEN — wonSTEPS AHEADHEALTHY HAPPYJOHANNES BRAHMSLO RIDERNEW FOREST

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 440.5

PLACE

4 12

6 79.5

8 12

QUINELLA

4,6 666

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 160

4,8 15.5

6,8 175

FORECAST

6,4 1,655

TIERCE

6,4,8 3,973

TRIO

4,6,8 242

FIRST 4

1,4,6,8 662

QUARTET

6,4,8,1 32,656

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

3/4 19

3/6 2,405