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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 04:30

LUGARD HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 1000m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 1 ("LUGARD HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ZOUPER FELLOW, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D J Hall, won, with ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING second and RAPID PHANTOM third. The 1.5 favourite ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 0:55.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 ZOUPER FELLOW CP1/TT 0:55.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D J Hall 7 23.0
2 1 ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING TT Z Purton · K L Man 5 1.5 1
3 9 RAPID PHANTOM TT1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 13 11.0 2-1/4
4 14 ENJOY GOLF CP-/B2 H Bentley · F C Lor 12 14.0 4
5 11 STAR PERFORMER B L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 57.0 5-3/4
6 8 PRECISION MIND TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui 11 30.0 6-1/4
7 5 INVICTUS XB1 J Orman · D J Whyte 2 36.0 6-1/4
8 10 SEA DIAMOND SR-/B1/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 14 66.0 7
9 4 GRACEFUL HEART XB1 L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 7.4 7-3/4
10 13 CONSPIRATOR M L Yeung · B Crawford 8 94.0 8
11 6 MEGA CAPTAIN C L Chau · C H Yip 4 12.0 9-1/2
12 2 SUPER SIXTY SR E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 36.0 10-1/2
13 3 CASA BUDDY TT1 M Chadwick · C W Chang 3 94.0 17-1/2
14 7 PARROT BLESSING H1/P1/TT1 H T Mo · W Y So 6 137.0 19-1/2
0 ONESHOT TT1 · W K Mo
0 FALCON HUNTER TT · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ZOUPER FELLOW2. ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING+1L3. RAPID PHANTOM+2.25L4. ENJOY GOLF+4L5. STAR PERFORMER+5.75L6. PRECISION MIND+6.25L7. INVICTUS+6.25L8. SEA DIAMOND+7L9. GRACEFUL HEART+7.75L10. CONSPIRATOR+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING (52.7%) finished 2nd — the winner ZOUPER FELLOW was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING 52.7% 1.90 2
2 9 RAPID PHANTOM 8.2% 12.27 3
3 4 GRACEFUL HEART 7.9% 12.60 9
4 12 ZOUPER FELLOW 5.3% 18.88 1
5 11 STAR PERFORMER 3.8% 26.27 5
6 14 ENJOY GOLF 3.6% 27.67 4
7 2 SUPER SIXTY 3.5% 28.77 12
8 6 MEGA CAPTAIN 3.2% 30.79 11
9 3 CASA BUDDY 2.2% 45.31 13
10 8 PRECISION MIND 2.2% 45.88 6
11 5 INVICTUS 2.1% 47.01 7
12 7 PARROT BLESSING 2.0% 50.81 14
13 10 SEA DIAMOND 1.9% 52.80 8
14 13 CONSPIRATOR 1.3% 74.40 10
ALMIGHTY LIGHTNINGRAPID PHANTOMGRACEFUL HEARTZOUPER FELLOW — wonSTAR PERFORMERENJOY GOLFSUPER SIXTYMEGA CAPTAINCASA BUDDYPRECISION MINDINVICTUSPARROT BLESSINGSEA DIAMONDCONSPIRATOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 231.5

PLACE

1 10.1

9 29

12 33

QUINELLA

1,12 132

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 38

1,12 53

9,12 179

FORECAST

12,1 494

TIERCE

12,1,9 3,616

TRIO

1,9,12 297

FIRST 4

1,9,12,14 490

QUARTET

12,1,9,14 24,545