Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 09:55
HOMESTEAD HANDICAP
Race 11
Race 11 ("HOMESTEAD HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. AERODYNAMICS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with LIVEANDLETLIVE second and ENTHUSIUM third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite LIVEANDLETLIVE finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AERODYNAMICS Wire to wire CP/TT 2:02.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 7.5 | — |
| 2 | 3 | LIVEANDLETLIVE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ENTHUSIUM Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | MIGHTY STRENGTH B- K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | MONEY CATCHER CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 5 | 9.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | FORTUNE BOY B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | KARMA TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | FAMILY JEWEL TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | SMART AVENUE B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 5.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SMART AVENUE | 20.8% | 4.80 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | FORTUNE BOY | 13.5% | 7.40 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 12.7% | 7.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | AERODYNAMICS | 11.5% | 8.73 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | FAMILY JEWEL | 10.9% | 9.18 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | MONEY CATCHER | 6.4% | 15.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 6.1% | 16.28 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 5.8% | 17.39 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | FALLON | 5.0% | 20.04 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ENTHUSIUM | 4.0% | 25.00 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | KARMA | 3.3% | 30.49 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 75
PLACE
3 16.5
4 25
9 40.5
QUINELLA
3,4 250.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 85.5
3,9 124.5
4,9 187
FORECAST
4,3 539
TIERCE
4,3,9 6,937
TRIO
3,4,9 1,067
FIRST 4
3,4,9,11 3,802
QUARTET
4,3,9,11 68,729
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
6/3 561
6/4 3,028
2ND TREBLE
3/6/3 2,568
3/6/4 17,752
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,8/3,4,9 67,357
SIX UP
1,4/1,2/2,4/3,8/4,6/3,4 403
4/1/2/3/6/4 615,571
7 [D J Whyte] —
1 [Z Purton] —