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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 08:10

HARLECH HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 10 runners

Race 8 ("HARLECH HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY MASTS, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with FIT FOR BEAUTY second and THE RED HARE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite THE RED HARE finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 MIGHTY MASTS Closed strongly XB/TT 1:21.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 10 5.5
2 4 FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly H A Atzeni · J Size 7 5.2 3-1/4
3 6 THE RED HARE Closed strongly P-/H/PC1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 4 2.6 4
4 8 HAROLD WIN Led early V/XB H Y Yuen · K W Lui 1 5.8 4-1/4
5 10 PACKING GLORY CP M Chadwick · P F Yiu 3 5.4 5-1/2
6 3 GOLDEN CHAMP V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 41.0 7
7 5 DREAMING TOGETHER Closed strongly CP C L Chau · B Crawford 8 112.0 7-1/2
8 1 LUCY IN THE SKY TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 9 26.0 8-1/2
9 9 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 6 43.0 8-3/4
10 7 DRAGON ON SNOW H-/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 5 104.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MIGHTY MASTS2. FIT FOR BEAUTY+3.25L3. THE RED HARE+4L4. HAROLD WIN+4.25L5. PACKING GLORY+5.5L6. GOLDEN CHAMP+7L7. DREAMING TOGETHER+7.5L8. LUCY IN THE SKY+8.5L9. KA YING SUPERB+8.75L10. DRAGON ON SNOW+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick THE RED HARE (22.7%) finished 3rd — the winner MIGHTY MASTS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 THE RED HARE 22.7% 4.40 3
2 10 PACKING GLORY 21.1% 4.73 5
3 4 FIT FOR BEAUTY 16.9% 5.93 2
4 8 HAROLD WIN 15.3% 6.53 4
5 2 MIGHTY MASTS 14.0% 7.15 1
6 1 LUCY IN THE SKY 4.5% 22.09 8
7 9 KA YING SUPERB 1.6% 62.82 9
8 3 GOLDEN CHAMP 1.4% 69.39 6
9 7 DRAGON ON SNOW 1.3% 76.24 10
10 5 DREAMING TOGETHER 1.2% 86.92 7
THE RED HAREPACKING GLORYFIT FOR BEAUTYHAROLD WINMIGHTY MASTS — wonLUCY IN THE SKYKA YING SUPERBGOLDEN CHAMPDRAGON ON SNOWDREAMING TOGETHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 55.5

PLACE

2 19

4 18

6 11.5

QUINELLA

2,4 131.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 42.5

2,6 33.5

4,6 25.5

FORECAST

2,4 227

TIERCE

2,4,6 488

TRIO

2,4,6 83

FIRST 4

2,4,6,8 81

QUARTET

2,4,6,8 1,444

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

1/2 39

1/4 10.5