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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 13:30

POLLOCK HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 13 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:35.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BIG RETURN Closed strongly H/TT 1:35.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards 12 13.0 —
2 8 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly CP-/H/P1/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 9 11.0 3/4
3 1 MR COOL TT K Teetan · F C Lor 8 3.7 1
4 3 VICTOR SUPREME Closed strongly V- Z Purton · P F Yiu 10 5.4 1-1/2
5 9 SMILING FALCON Closed strongly CP-/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting 1 18.0 2-1/4
6 2 AMAZING GAZE Closed strongly CP-/B1 H Bowman · D A Hayes 11 4.8 3
7 12 FLYING AMANI Closed strongly CP/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall 2 20.0 3-1/4
8 11 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 42.0 4
9 4 LUCKY YEAR M F Poon · C H Yip 6 13.0 4-1/2
10 5 MULTISUPERSTAR TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 7 22.0 5
11 13 SUPER SICARIO Led early E C W Wong · C Fownes 13 9.1 5-1/4
12 10 DERRYNBLUE H/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 5 165.0 5-1/4
13 6 KYRUS TREASURE CP/TT- L Ferraris · D Eustace 4 34.0 6-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("POLLOCK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BIG RETURN, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won, with SMART FAT CAT second and MR COOL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite MR COOL finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BIG RETURN—2. SMART FAT CAT+0.75L3. MR COOL+1L4. VICTOR SUPREME+1.5L5. SMILING FALCON+2.25L6. AMAZING GAZE+3L7. FLYING AMANI+3.25L8. FIGHTING MACHINE+4L9. LUCKY YEAR+4.5L10. MULTISUPERSTAR+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VICTOR SUPREME (19.0%) finished 4th — the winner BIG RETURN was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 VICTOR SUPREME 19.0% 5.27 4
2 1 MR COOL 14.5% 6.92 3
3 2 AMAZING GAZE 11.7% 8.53 6
4 8 SMART FAT CAT 10.2% 9.79 2
5 4 LUCKY YEAR 7.0% 14.20 9
6 9 SMILING FALCON 6.8% 14.73 5
7 11 FIGHTING MACHINE 5.9% 16.99 8
8 7 BIG RETURN 5.7% 17.62 1
9 12 FLYING AMANI 5.3% 18.94 7
10 5 MULTISUPERSTAR 5.1% 19.45 10
11 13 SUPER SICARIO 5.0% 20.04 11
12 6 KYRUS TREASURE 2.4% 41.17 13
13 10 DERRYNBLUE 1.4% 71.48 12
VICTOR SUPREMEMR COOLAMAZING GAZESMART FAT CATLUCKY YEARSMILING FALCONFIGHTING MACHINEBIG RETURN — wonFLYING AMANIMULTISUPERSTARSUPER SICARIOKYRUS TREASUREDERRYNBLUE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 132.5

PLACE

1 16.5

7 39.5

8 32

QUINELLA

7,8 683

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 76.5

1,8 76.5

7,8 219

FORECAST

7,8 1,529

TIERCE

7,8,1 6,991

TRIO

1,7,8 1,062

FIRST 4

1,3,7,8 1,216

QUARTET

7,8,1,3 46,159

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,10,14/1,7,8 859,503

2ND DOUBLE

14/7 1,211.5

14/8 169.5