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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 05:30

POLLOCK HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 13 runners

Race 3 ("POLLOCK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BIG RETURN, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won, with SMART FAT CAT second and MR COOL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite MR COOL finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:35.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BIG RETURN Closed strongly H/TT 1:35.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards 12 13.0
2 8 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly CP-/H/P1/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 9 11.0 3/4
3 1 MR COOL TT K Teetan · F C Lor 8 3.7 1
4 3 VICTOR SUPREME Closed strongly V- Z Purton · P F Yiu 10 5.4 1-1/2
5 9 SMILING FALCON Closed strongly CP-/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting 1 18.0 2-1/4
6 2 AMAZING GAZE Closed strongly CP-/B1 H Bowman · D A Hayes 11 4.8 3
7 12 FLYING AMANI Closed strongly CP/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall 2 20.0 3-1/4
8 11 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 42.0 4
9 4 LUCKY YEAR M F Poon · C H Yip 6 13.0 4-1/2
10 5 MULTISUPERSTAR TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 7 22.0 5
11 13 SUPER SICARIO Led early E C W Wong · C Fownes 13 9.1 5-1/4
12 10 DERRYNBLUE H/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 5 165.0 5-1/4
13 6 KYRUS TREASURE CP/TT- L Ferraris · D Eustace 4 34.0 6-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BIG RETURN2. SMART FAT CAT+0.75L3. MR COOL+1L4. VICTOR SUPREME+1.5L5. SMILING FALCON+2.25L6. AMAZING GAZE+3L7. FLYING AMANI+3.25L8. FIGHTING MACHINE+4L9. LUCKY YEAR+4.5L10. MULTISUPERSTAR+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VICTOR SUPREME (19.0%) finished 4th — the winner BIG RETURN was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 VICTOR SUPREME 19.0% 5.27 4
2 1 MR COOL 14.5% 6.92 3
3 2 AMAZING GAZE 11.7% 8.53 6
4 8 SMART FAT CAT 10.2% 9.79 2
5 4 LUCKY YEAR 7.0% 14.20 9
6 9 SMILING FALCON 6.8% 14.73 5
7 11 FIGHTING MACHINE 5.9% 16.99 8
8 7 BIG RETURN 5.7% 17.62 1
9 12 FLYING AMANI 5.3% 18.94 7
10 5 MULTISUPERSTAR 5.1% 19.45 10
11 13 SUPER SICARIO 5.0% 20.04 11
12 6 KYRUS TREASURE 2.4% 41.17 13
13 10 DERRYNBLUE 1.4% 71.48 12
VICTOR SUPREMEMR COOLAMAZING GAZESMART FAT CATLUCKY YEARSMILING FALCONFIGHTING MACHINEBIG RETURN — wonFLYING AMANIMULTISUPERSTARSUPER SICARIOKYRUS TREASUREDERRYNBLUE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 132.5

PLACE

1 16.5

7 39.5

8 32

QUINELLA

7,8 683

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 76.5

1,8 76.5

7,8 219

FORECAST

7,8 1,529

TIERCE

7,8,1 6,991

TRIO

1,7,8 1,062

FIRST 4

1,3,7,8 1,216

QUARTET

7,8,1,3 46,159

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,10,14/1,7,8 859,503

2ND DOUBLE

14/7 1,211.5

14/8 169.5