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Sha Tin · 2026-04-06 · 14:00

PLUNKETT'S HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #12 DUKE OF ORANGE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H 1:21.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting 1 14.0 —
2 3 ROBOT STAR Closed strongly CP H Bowman · K L Man 7 13.0 3
3 9 ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor 2 105.0 4
4 12 DUKE OF ORANGE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C H Yip 14 70.0 4
5 5 FLYING KNIGHT Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W K Mo 13 124.0 4-1/2
6 1 GALLANT EPOCH B/TT H Y Yuen · K W Lui 5 4.7 5-1/2
7 10 GOR GOR Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 12 29.0 7-1/4
8 4 CLEANSWEEPER Closed strongly H1/TT1 K C Leung · M Newnham 9 145.0 8
9 6 KING CANNON Closed strongly XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 10 122.0 8-3/4
10 7 LET'S HAVE FUN TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes 4 132.0 9-1/2
11 11 I EXCELLE Led early B1/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 69.0 13-1/2
12 8 CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 6 5.7 17-3/4
13 13 QUICK MONEY B-/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip 11 114.0 18-1/4
— 2 LUCKY RANGER L Ferraris · M Newnham 8 1.7 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("PLUNKETT'S HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-06 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY MAN, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won, with ROBOT STAR second and ILLUMINOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite LUCKY RANGER did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY MAN—2. ROBOT STAR+3L3. ILLUMINOUS+4L4. DUKE OF ORANGE+4L5. FLYING KNIGHT+4.5L6. GALLANT EPOCH+5.5L7. GOR GOR+7.25L8. CLEANSWEEPER+8L9. KING CANNON+8.75L10. LET'S HAVE FUN+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GALLANT EPOCH (28.0%) finished 6th — the winner LUCKY MAN was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GALLANT EPOCH 28.0% 3.58 6
2 8 CALIFORNIA BAY 22.6% 4.43 12
3 3 ROBOT STAR 10.6% 9.44 2
4 14 LUCKY MAN 6.8% 14.72 1
5 12 DUKE OF ORANGE 5.9% 17.04 4
6 11 I EXCELLE 5.6% 17.73 11
7 10 GOR GOR 5.3% 18.74 7
8 5 FLYING KNIGHT 3.5% 28.92 5
9 4 CLEANSWEEPER 2.9% 33.99 8
10 9 ILLUMINOUS 2.8% 35.11 3
11 13 QUICK MONEY 2.4% 41.23 13
12 6 KING CANNON 2.0% 49.73 9
13 7 LET'S HAVE FUN 1.5% 64.77 10
GALLANT EPOCHCALIFORNIA BAYROBOT STARLUCKY MAN — wonDUKE OF ORANGEI EXCELLEGOR GORFLYING KNIGHTCLEANSWEEPERILLUMINOUSQUICK MONEYKING CANNONLET'S HAVE FUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 146.5

PLACE

3 23.5

9 145

14 34

QUINELLA

3,14 694

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 691.5

3,14 161

9,14 998

FORECAST

14,3 1,385

TIERCE

14,3,9 58,061

TRIO

3,9,14 11,124

FIRST 4

3,9,12,14 72,771

QUARTET

14,3,9,12 535,388

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/3 250.5

7/14 2,336