跑馬地 · 2026-04-15 · 10:35
CELEBRATING 50 YEARS OF THE HK SEVENS 1000M HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-04-15跑馬地第1場「CELEBRATING 50 YEARS OF THE HK SEVENS 1000M HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的ALWAYS MY FOLKS勝出。MACANESE MASTER獲得亞軍；SPICY SPANGLE獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MACANESE MASTER跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS B/TT 0:56.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 4.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | MACANESE MASTER V Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 6 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | TAIHANG SCENERY H-/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 12 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER E J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | BINGO BABE CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY GENERATIONS B1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | SHINE BRIGHT B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RUN YES RUN B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 109.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | SPORTIC WARRIOR CP/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 4 | 227.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR XB/B2/TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 56.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER V/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HAPPY BOYS H/TT1 · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MACANESE MASTER | 28.8% | 3.47 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 18.2% | 5.50 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 14.1% | 7.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SPICY SPANGLE | 8.3% | 12.02 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 6.0% | 16.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | BINGO BABE | 5.0% | 20.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | COUNTRY DANCER | 4.5% | 22.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SHINE BRIGHT | 3.9% | 25.43 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 3.9% | 25.88 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | RUN YES RUN | 3.8% | 26.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 2.1% | 48.70 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.5% | 68.91 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 49
PLACE
4 20
5 15
6 18.5
QUINELLA
5,6 83.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 39.5
4,6 48.5
5,6 34.5
FORECAST
6,5 182
TIERCE
6,5,4 994
TRIO
4,5,6 168
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 655
QUARTET
6,5,4,8 12,613